Real Estelí 67%Draw 18%Walter Ferretti 14%Expected goals 2.06 – 1.03
67%
Betarazi pick
Real Estelí to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 58% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultReal Estelí to win ✗67% · @1.20
Double chanceReal Estelí or draw ✗86% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @2.20
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Real Estelí vs Walter Ferretti: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Real Estelí welcome Walter Ferretti to Estadio Independencia for a Primera Division fixture on Thursday 16 April (02:00 WAT). In the table, Real Estelí are 3rd, among the top four, on 31 points after 16 matches; Walter Ferretti are 5th (upper half) with 21.
Current form
Real Estelí, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Diriangén, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Walter Ferretti, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Managua, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Real Estelí, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for Walter Ferretti.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Estelí 2.1 xG, Walter Ferretti 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Estelí 67%, draw 18%, Walter Ferretti 14%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Real Estelí to win (67%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Estelí 2–1 Walter Ferretti. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Estelí67%fair 1.49 · @1.20
Draw18%fair 5.44 · @5.50
Walter Ferretti14%fair 7.00 · @12.00
3.10Expected goals
2.06Real Estelí xG
1.03Walter Ferretti xG
58%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–010%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Real Estelí 2.1 – 1.0 Walter Ferretti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Estelí to win✗
67%
1.49
1.20
Double chance
Real Estelí or draw✗
86%
1.17
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Real Estelí (draw no bet)✗
82%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Real Estelí -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Real Estelí to score first
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Real Estelí ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Estelí / FT Real Estelí✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Recent results
Real Estelí – last 6
LWWWWW
12 Apr
@ Diriangén
0–1
L
9 Apr
vs Managua
2–1
W
9 Mar
@ Rancho Santana
4–0
W
6 Mar
vs Jalapa
2–1
W
2 Mar
@ UNAN Managua
3–0
W
27 Feb
vs Real Madriz
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Walter Ferretti – last 6
DDLWLW
13 Apr
@ Managua
1–1
D
10 Apr
vs Rancho Santana
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Diriangén
2–5
L
4 Mar
vs H&H Export
3–1
W
2 Mar
@ Real Madriz
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs UNAN Managua
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Estelí and Walter Ferretti.
What is the prediction for Real Estelí vs Walter Ferretti?
Our pick is Real Estelí to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Real Estelí vs Walter Ferretti?
On our numbers Real Estelí have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Walter Ferretti 14%.
How many goals will there be in Real Estelí vs Walter Ferretti?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Estelí vs Walter Ferretti?
Our predicted score is Real Estelí 2–1 Walter Ferretti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Real Estelí vs Walter Ferretti?
Real Estelí vs Walter Ferretti (Primera Division) kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Independencia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Real Madriz0