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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Jalapa v Real Madriz: numbers & prediction

Primera Division · Nicaragua

Jalapa

WLLDW
2–0
FT
Jalapa 56%Draw 25%Real Madriz 19% Expected goals 1.72 – 1.02
56%
Betarazi pick

Jalapa to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.78 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.48Odds

Picks by market

ResultJalapa to win ✓56% · @1.48
Double chanceJalapa or draw ✓81% · fair 1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27

Jalapa vs Real Madriz: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Jalapa welcome Real Madriz for a Primera Division fixture on Thursday 16 April (23:00 WAT).

Current form

Jalapa, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over UNAN Managua, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Real Madriz, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over UNAN Managua, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Real Madriz 0–3 Jalapa.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Jalapa 1.7 xG, Real Madriz 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Jalapa 56%, draw 25%, Real Madriz 19%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Jalapa to win (56%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jalapa 1–0 Real Madriz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Jalapa56%fair 1.78 · @1.48
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @4.00
Real Madriz19%fair 5.30 · @5.25
2.74Expected goals
1.72Jalapa xG
1.02Real Madriz xG
51%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
0–17%
0–06%

From our goals model: Jalapa 1.7 – 1.0 Real Madriz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJalapa to win ✓56%1.781.48
Double chanceJalapa or draw ✓81%1.23–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.97–
Draw no betJalapa (draw no bet) ✓75%1.34–
Asian handicapReal Madriz +1 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.871.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreJalapa to score first ✓59%1.70–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Jalapa / FT Jalapa ✗33%3.03–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.27–

Recent results

Jalapa – last 6

WLLDWW
8 Apr@ UNAN Managua4–2W
6 Mar@ Real Estelí1–2L
25 Feb@ Managua0–1L
22 Feb@ Walter Ferretti0–0D
18 Febvs Rancho Santana2–0W
15 Feb@ Real Madriz3–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Real Madriz – last 6

WDLWWL
13 Aprvs UNAN Managua1–0W
9 Apr@ H&H Export2–2D
9 Marvs Managua1–2L
5 Mar@ Matagalpa4–2W
2 Marvs Walter Ferretti1–0W
27 Feb@ Real Estelí0–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Feb 2026Real Madriz v Jalapa0–3
Jalapa vs Real Madriz head-to-head page →

Primera Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Managua161321+3441
2Diriangén161132+1636
3Real Estelí16943+1531
4UNAN Managua16745-225
5Walter Ferretti16637+621
6H&H Export16628-1220
7San Marcos16448-716
8Jalapa16439-615
9Rancho Santana162410-1710
10Matagalpa163112-2710

More Primera Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Jalapa vs Real Madriz?

Our pick is Jalapa to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Jalapa vs Real Madriz?

On our numbers Jalapa have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Real Madriz 19%.

How many goals will there be in Jalapa vs Real Madriz?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Jalapa vs Real Madriz?

Our predicted score is Jalapa 1–0 Real Madriz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Jalapa vs Real Madriz?

Jalapa vs Real Madriz (Primera Division) kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.