Charlotte 53%Draw 22%Atlanta United FC 25%Expected goals 2.36 – 1.40
83%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Charlotte to win @ 2.08 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCharlotte to win ✗53% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.00
Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Charlotte welcome Atlanta United FC to Bank of America Stadium for a US Open Cup fixture on Wednesday 29 April (00:00 WAT).
Current form
Charlotte, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Nashville SC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Atlanta United FC, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to New England Revolution, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Charlotte, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Atlanta United FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Charlotte 2.4 xG, Atlanta United FC 1.4 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Charlotte 53%, draw 22%, Atlanta United FC 25%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Charlotte to win @2.08 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Charlotte 2–1 Atlanta United FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Charlotte53%fair 1.89 · @2.08
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.55
Atlanta United FC25%fair 3.99 · @3.10
3.76Expected goals
2.36Charlotte xG
1.40Atlanta United FC xG
65%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Charlotte 2.4 – 1.4 Atlanta United FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charlotte to win✗
53%
1.89
2.08 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.54
1.53
Draw no bet
Charlotte (draw no bet)✗
68%
1.47
–
Asian handicap
Atlanta United FC +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
1.65 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
First team to score
Charlotte to score first✗
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Charlotte ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charlotte / FT Charlotte✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.00
–
Recent results
Charlotte – last 6
LLWWLW
26 Apr
@ Nashville SC
2–4
L
23 Apr
@ Orlando City SC
1–4
L
19 Apr
@ New York City FC
2–1
W
16 Apr
vs Charlotte Independence
6–0
W
12 Apr
vs Nashville SC
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Philadelphia Union
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Atlanta United FC – last 6
LLWLLD
23 Apr
vs New England Revolution
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Nashville SC
0–2
L
16 Apr
@ Chattanooga
3–1
W
12 Apr
@ Chicago Fire
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Columbus Crew
1–3
L
22 Mar
vs DC United
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Charlotte and Atlanta United FC.
What is the prediction for Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC?
On our numbers Charlotte have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atlanta United FC 25%.
How many goals will there be in Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC?
Our predicted score is Charlotte 2–1 Atlanta United FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC?
Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC (US Open Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Bank of America Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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