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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Zrinjski v Velež: numbers & prediction

Cup · Bosnia · Stadion pod Bijelim Brijegom
1–0
FT

Velež

WWWWL
Zrinjski 64%Draw 22%Velež 13% Expected goals 1.93 – 0.68
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultZrinjski to win ✓64% · @1.53
Double chanceZrinjski or draw ✓87% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.76

Zrinjski vs Velež: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 6 May the Cup brings Zrinjski against Velež at Stadion pod Bijelim Brijegom. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT.

Current form

Zrinjski, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Zeljeznicar Sarajevo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Velež, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Radnik Bijeljina, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Velež 0–1 Zrinjski.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Zrinjski 1.9 xG, Velež 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Zrinjski 64%, draw 22%, Velež 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 53%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zrinjski 1–0 Velež. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Zrinjski64%fair 1.56 · @1.53
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.50
Velež13%fair 7.54 · @6.20
2.60Expected goals
1.93Zrinjski xG
0.68Velež xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%

From our goals model: Zrinjski 1.9 – 0.7 Velež expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultZrinjski to win ✓64%1.561.53
Double chanceZrinjski or draw ✓87%1.151.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.892.05 ▲
Draw no betZrinjski (draw no bet) ✓83%1.21–
Asian handicapZrinjski -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.411.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.881.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.351.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreZrinjski to score first ✓69%1.46–
Half-time resultZrinjski ahead at half-time ✓47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Zrinjski / FT Zrinjski ✓43%2.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.76–

Recent results

Zrinjski – last 6

WDWDWW
1 Mayvs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo2–0W
22 Aprvs Borac Banja Luka1–1D
15 Aprvs Radnik Bijeljina2–0W
8 Apr@ Radnik Bijeljina0–0D
3 Apr@ Velež1–0W
22 Marvs Rudar Prijedor1–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Velež – last 6

WWWWLW
1 Mayvs Radnik Bijeljina1–0W
21 Aprvs Siroki Brijeg3–0W
15 Apr@ Sloga Doboj3–0W
8 Aprvs Sloga Doboj3–1W
3 Aprvs Zrinjski0–1L
15 Mar@ Rudar Prijedor2–1W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Apr 2026Velež v Zrinjski0–1
Zrinjski vs Velež head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Zrinjski vs Velež?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Zrinjski vs Velež?

On our numbers Zrinjski have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Velež 13%.

How many goals will there be in Zrinjski vs Velež?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Zrinjski vs Velež?

Our predicted score is Zrinjski 1–0 Velež, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Zrinjski vs Velež?

Zrinjski vs Velež (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion pod Bijelim Brijegom.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.