Value bet: SC Freiburg to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSC Braga to win ✓37% · @2.34
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.84
SC Braga vs SC Freiburg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Thursday 30 April: SC Braga v SC Freiburg in the UEFA Europa League, played at Estádio Municipal de Braga.
Current form
SC Braga, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Casa Pia, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
SC Freiburg, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with VfB Stuttgart, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Momentum favours SC Freiburg, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.0 for SC Braga.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SC Braga 1.2 xG, SC Freiburg 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SC Braga 37%, draw 27%, SC Freiburg 36%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: SC Freiburg to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: SC Braga 1–1 SC Freiburg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SC Braga37%fair 2.69 · @2.34
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @3.10
SC Freiburg36%fair 2.79 · @3.10
2.51Expected goals
1.22SC Braga xG
1.29SC Freiburg xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: SC Braga 1.2 – 1.3 SC Freiburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SC Braga to win✓
37%
2.69
2.34
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.77
Draw no bet
SC Braga (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
SC Braga +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.08
First team to score
SC Freiburg to score first
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SC Freiburg / FT SC Freiburg✗
22%
4.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
12.84
–
Recent results
SC Braga – last 5
WWDWL
23 Apr
@ Casa Pia
1–0
W
16 Apr
@ Real Betis
4–2
W
8 Apr
vs Real Betis
1–1
D
18 Mar
vs Ferencvarosi TC
4–0
W
12 Mar
@ Ferencvarosi TC
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
SC Freiburg – last 6
DWWWWW
23 Apr
@ VfB Stuttgart
1–1
D
19 Apr
vs 1. FC Heidenheim
2–1
W
16 Apr
@ Celta Vigo
3–1
W
9 Apr
vs Celta Vigo
3–0
W
22 Mar
@ FC St. Pauli
2–1
W
19 Mar
vs Genk
5–1
W
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SC Braga and SC Freiburg.
What is the prediction for SC Braga vs SC Freiburg?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win SC Braga vs SC Freiburg?
On our numbers SC Braga have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and SC Freiburg 36%.
How many goals will there be in SC Braga vs SC Freiburg?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SC Braga vs SC Freiburg?
Our predicted score is SC Braga 1–1 SC Freiburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is SC Braga vs SC Freiburg?
SC Braga vs SC Freiburg (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Municipal de Braga.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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