Racing Montevideo 45%Draw 26%Atletico Torque 30%Expected goals 1.42 – 1.20
74%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultRacing Montevideo to win45% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.36
Racing Montevideo vs Atletico Torque: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 3 May the Primera División Apertura brings Racing Montevideo against Atletico Torque at Estadio Osvaldo Roberto. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Racing Montevideo are 6th, upper half, on 19 points after 13 matches; Atletico Torque are 2nd (among the top four) with 28.
Current form
Racing Montevideo, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Penarol, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Atletico Torque, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Deportivo Riestra, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Racing Montevideo 1.4 xG, Atletico Torque 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Racing Montevideo 45%, draw 26%, Atletico Torque 30%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Racing Montevideo 1–1 Atletico Torque. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Racing Montevideo45%fair 2.25 · @1.98
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.30
Atletico Torque30%fair 3.34 · @3.55
2.61Expected goals
1.42Racing Montevideo xG
1.20Atletico Torque xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Racing Montevideo 1.4 – 1.2 Atletico Torque expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Racing Montevideo
Atletico Torque
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average
+9%
+43%
Goals conceded vs average
-12%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.43
1.34
Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Racing Montevideo to win
45%
2.25
1.98
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
59%
1.70
1.83 ▲
Draw no bet
Racing Montevideo (draw no bet)
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Atletico Torque +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.87
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Racing Montevideo to score first
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Racing Montevideo / FT Racing Montevideo
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.36
–
Recent results
Racing Montevideo – last 6
WDWLWW
29 Mar
@ Penarol
2–1
W
26 Mar
vs Progreso
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Cerro
1–0
W
5 Mar
@ Boston River
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Albion FC
3–1
W
21 Feb
vs Danubio
4–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Atletico Torque – last 6
LWDWWL
29 Apr
@ Deportivo Riestra
1–2
L
24 Apr
vs Boston River
4–1
W
19 Apr
@ Cerro
1–1
D
15 Apr
@ Palestino
2–0
W
9 Apr
vs Gremio
1–0
W
28 Mar
vs Club Nacional
2–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Racing Montevideo and Atletico Torque.
What is the prediction for Racing Montevideo vs Atletico Torque?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Racing Montevideo vs Atletico Torque?
On our numbers Racing Montevideo have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Atletico Torque 30%.
How many goals will there be in Racing Montevideo vs Atletico Torque?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Racing Montevideo vs Atletico Torque?
Our predicted score is Racing Montevideo 1–1 Atletico Torque, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Racing Montevideo vs Atletico Torque?
Racing Montevideo vs Atletico Torque (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Osvaldo Roberto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
