Botev Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Arda Kardzhali travel to face Botev Plovdiv on Tuesday 12 May in the First League, with Stadion Hristo Botev the venue – the ball rolls at 18:15 WAT. In the table, Botev Plovdiv are 5th, upper half, on 23 points after 14 matches; Arda Kardzhali are 6th (upper half) with 21. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Botev Plovdiv, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Lokomotiv Plovdiv, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Arda Kardzhali, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Lokomotiv Plovdiv, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Botev Plovdiv, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Arda Kardzhali.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Botev Plovdiv 1.7 xG, Arda Kardzhali 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Botev Plovdiv 50%, draw 24%, Arda Kardzhali 26%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botev Plovdiv 1–1 Arda Kardzhali. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Botev Plovdiv50%fair 2.01 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.10
Arda Kardzhali26%fair 3.88 · @3.40
2.69Expected goals
1.67Botev Plovdiv xG
1.01Arda Kardzhali xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Botev Plovdiv 1.7 – 1.0 Arda Kardzhali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Botev Plovdiv to win✗
50%
2.01
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.73
Draw no bet
Botev Plovdiv (draw no bet)✗
66%
1.52
–
Asian handicap
Arda Kardzhali +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.16
–
First team to score
Botev Plovdiv to score first
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Botev Plovdiv / FT Botev Plovdiv✗
32%
3.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.35
–
Recent results
Botev Plovdiv – last 6
LWDWDW
3 May
vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0–2
L
14 Apr
@ Dobrudzha
3–0
W
8 Apr
vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–1
D
20 Mar
@ Slavia Sofia
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ CSKA 1948
0–0
D
3 Mar
vs Septemvri Sofia
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Arda Kardzhali – last 6
LDDLWL
8 May
@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0–2
L
3 May
vs Cherno More Varna
0–0
D
30 Apr
@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–1
D
22 Apr
vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0–4
L
15 Apr
vs Ludogorets
1–0
W
9 Apr
@ Levski Sofia
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Botev Plovdiv and Arda Kardzhali.
What is the prediction for Botev Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Botev Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
On our numbers Botev Plovdiv have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Arda Kardzhali 26%.
How many goals will there be in Botev Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botev Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
Our predicted score is Botev Plovdiv 1–1 Arda Kardzhali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Botev Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
Botev Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali (First League) kicks off on Tuesday 12 May 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Hristo Botev.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
