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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lokomotiv Sofia v Septemvri Sofia: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Stadion Lokomotiv

Lokomotiv Sofia

LWLWD
1–1
FT

Septemvri Sofia

DWDLL
Lokomotiv Sofia 52%Draw 25%Septemvri Sofia 24% Expected goals 1.63 – 1.09
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultLokomotiv Sofia to win ✗52% · @1.80
Double chanceLokomotiv Sofia or draw ✓76% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.49

Lokomotiv Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lokomotiv Sofia welcome Septemvri Sofia to Stadion Lokomotiv for a First League fixture on Monday 27 April (18:00 WAT). In the table, Lokomotiv Sofia are 14th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 14 matches; Septemvri Sofia are 12th (in the drop zone) with 11. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Lokomotiv Sofia, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Botev Vratsa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Septemvri Sofia, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Spartak Varna, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Mar 2026) it ended Lokomotiv Sofia 3–0 Septemvri Sofia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv Sofia 1.6 xG, Septemvri Sofia 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv Sofia 52%, draw 25%, Septemvri Sofia 24%.
  • Lower-risk option: Lokomotiv Sofia or draw (76%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 Septemvri Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lokomotiv Sofia52%fair 1.93 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.35
Septemvri Sofia24%fair 4.23 · @4.00
2.72Expected goals
1.63Lokomotiv Sofia xG
1.09Septemvri Sofia xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%

From our goals model: Lokomotiv Sofia 1.6 – 1.1 Septemvri Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLokomotiv Sofia to win ✗52%1.931.80
Double chanceLokomotiv Sofia or draw ✓76%1.311.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.741.70
Draw no betLokomotiv Sofia (draw no bet)69%1.46–
Asian handicapSeptemvri Sofia +1 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.351.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.981.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.421.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreLokomotiv Sofia to score first ✓56%1.79–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lokomotiv Sofia / FT Lokomotiv Sofia ✗30%3.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.49–

Recent results

Lokomotiv Sofia – last 6

LWLWDL
14 Apr@ Botev Vratsa2–3L
9 Aprvs Beroe2–1W
3 Apr@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv0–1L
17 Marvs Septemvri Sofia3–0W
13 Marvs Slavia Sofia1–1D
8 Mar@ CSKA Sofia0–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Septemvri Sofia – last 6

DWDLLL
16 Aprvs Spartak Varna0–0D
10 Apr@ Slavia Sofia2–1W
6 Aprvs Botev Vratsa0–0D
21 Marvs Arda Kardzhali1–4L
17 Mar@ Lokomotiv Sofia0–3L
13 Mar@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv0–1L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Mar 2026Lokomotiv Sofia v Septemvri Sofia3–0
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

More First League predictions

League hub
FT Montana1 Dobrudzha0 137%3.00X26%3.00236%2.30 1.3–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.45 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Lokomotiv Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?

On our numbers Lokomotiv Sofia have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Septemvri Sofia 24%.

How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?

Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 Septemvri Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Lokomotiv Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?

Lokomotiv Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia (First League) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.