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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Montana v Dobrudzha: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Ogosta Stadium

Montana

DLLLL
1–0
FT
Montana 37%Draw 26%Dobrudzha 36% Expected goals 1.28 – 1.17
67%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.45Odds
1

Value bet: Montana to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultMontana to win ✓37% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.08

Montana vs Dobrudzha: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Dobrudzha travel to face Montana on Monday 27 April in the First League, with Ogosta Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT.

Current form

Montana, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Slavia Sofia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.

Dobrudzha, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Botev Plovdiv, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Dobrudzha, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.2 for Montana.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Dobrudzha 1–0 Montana.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Montana 1.3 xG, Dobrudzha 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Montana 37%, draw 26%, Dobrudzha 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Montana to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Montana 1–1 Dobrudzha. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Montana37%fair 2.68 · @3.00
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.00
Dobrudzha36%fair 2.77 · @2.30
2.46Expected goals
1.28Montana xG
1.17Dobrudzha xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Montana 1.3 – 1.2 Dobrudzha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMontana to win ✓37%2.683.00 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.361.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.822.00 ▲
Draw no betMontana (draw no bet) ✓51%1.97–
Asian handicapDobrudzha +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗67%1.491.45
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.701.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.281.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreMontana to score first ✓48%2.09–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Montana / FT Montana ✓22%4.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.08–

Recent results

Montana – last 6

DLLLLL
16 Aprvs Slavia Sofia0–0D
8 Aprvs CSKA Sofia0–1L
4 Apr@ Arda Kardzhali1–2L
22 Marvs Beroe0–1L
15 Mar@ Cherno More Varna0–1L
9 Marvs Ludogorets0–3L
0.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Dobrudzha – last 6

LLDLLW
14 Aprvs Botev Plovdiv0–3L
10 Apr@ Spartak Varna0–1L
5 Aprvs Levski Sofia2–2D
22 Mar@ CSKA Sofia0–2L
16 Mar@ Arda Kardzhali0–2L
8 Marvs Beroe1–0W
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Feb 2026Dobrudzha v Montana1–0
Montana vs Dobrudzha head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Montana vs Dobrudzha?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Montana vs Dobrudzha?

On our numbers Montana have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Dobrudzha 36%.

How many goals will there be in Montana vs Dobrudzha?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Montana vs Dobrudzha?

Our predicted score is Montana 1–1 Dobrudzha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Montana vs Dobrudzha?

Montana vs Dobrudzha (First League) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Ogosta Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.