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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Beroe v Slavia Sofia: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Stadion Beroe

Beroe

WDLWL
3–0
FT

Slavia Sofia

DDLWL
Beroe 36%Draw 26%Slavia Sofia 38% Expected goals 1.07 – 1.26
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
2

Value bet: Slavia Sofia to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSlavia Sofia to win ✗38% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.11

Beroe vs Slavia Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 2 May the First League brings Beroe against Slavia Sofia at Stadion Beroe. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT.

Current form

Beroe, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Spartak Varna, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Slavia Sofia, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Botev Vratsa, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Mar 2026) it ended Beroe 0–3 Slavia Sofia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Beroe 1.1 xG, Slavia Sofia 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Beroe 36%, draw 26%, Slavia Sofia 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: Slavia Sofia to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Beroe 1–1 Slavia Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Beroe36%fair 2.77 · @2.05
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.35
Slavia Sofia38%fair 2.66 · @3.10
2.33Expected goals
1.07Beroe xG
1.26Slavia Sofia xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%

From our goals model: Beroe 1.1 – 1.3 Slavia Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSlavia Sofia to win ✗38%2.663.10 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.361.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.711.67
Draw no betSlavia Sofia (draw no bet) ✗51%1.96–
Asian handicapBeroe +1 (Asian handicap) ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.421.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.841.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreSlavia Sofia to score first ✗49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Slavia Sofia / FT Slavia Sofia ✗23%4.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.11–

Recent results

Beroe – last 6

WDLWLL
24 Apr@ Spartak Varna2–1W
13 Aprvs Lokomotiv Plovdiv0–0D
9 Apr@ Lokomotiv Sofia1–2L
22 Mar@ Montana1–0W
15 Marvs Levski Sofia0–1L
8 Mar@ Dobrudzha0–1L
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Slavia Sofia – last 6

DDLWLD
26 Aprvs Botev Vratsa1–1D
16 Apr@ Montana0–0D
10 Aprvs Septemvri Sofia1–2L
5 Apr@ Cherno More Varna3–1W
20 Marvs Botev Plovdiv0–1L
13 Mar@ Lokomotiv Sofia1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Mar 2026Beroe v Slavia Sofia0–3
Beroe vs Slavia Sofia head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

More First League predictions

League hub
– Botev Vratsa0 Spartak Varna0 151%1.70X24%3.55225%4.33 1.4–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.30
– Levski Sofia CSKA 1948 154%1.55X24%3.70221%5.50 1.6–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Beroe vs Slavia Sofia?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Beroe vs Slavia Sofia?

On our numbers Beroe have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Slavia Sofia 38%.

How many goals will there be in Beroe vs Slavia Sofia?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Beroe vs Slavia Sofia?

Our predicted score is Beroe 1–1 Slavia Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Beroe vs Slavia Sofia?

Beroe vs Slavia Sofia (First League) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Beroe.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.