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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Botev Vratsa v Spartak Varna: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Hristo Botev Stadium
0–0
–
Botev Vratsa 51%Draw 24%Spartak Varna 25% Expected goals 1.43 – 1.04
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.30

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultBotev Vratsa to win51% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.13

Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Spartak Varna travel to face Botev Vratsa on Saturday 2 May in the First League, with Hristo Botev Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Botev Vratsa are 13th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 14 matches; Spartak Varna are 7th (upper half) with 16.

Current form

Botev Vratsa, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Slavia Sofia, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Spartak Varna, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Beroe, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Botev Vratsa 1.4 xG, Spartak Varna 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Botev Vratsa 51%, draw 24%, Spartak Varna 25%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.77.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botev Vratsa 1–1 Spartak Varna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Botev Vratsa51%fair 1.96 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.55
Spartak Varna25%fair 4.07 · @4.33
2.47Expected goals
1.43Botev Vratsa xG
1.04Spartak Varna xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
2–19%
0–19%
2–09%
0–08%

From our goals model: Botev Vratsa 1.4 – 1.0 Spartak Varna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBotev Vratsa to win51%1.961.70
Double chanceEither team to win76%1.321.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score57%1.761.77
Draw no betBotev Vratsa (draw no bet)68%1.48–
Asian handicapSpartak Varna +1 (Asian handicap)71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals72%1.401.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals53%1.901.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals74%1.361.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals90%1.12–
First team to scoreBotev Vratsa to score first53%1.89–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Botev Vratsa / FT Botev Vratsa27%3.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.13–

Recent results

Botev Vratsa – last 6

DWLDLL
26 Apr@ Slavia Sofia1–1D
14 Aprvs Lokomotiv Sofia3–2W
10 Apr@ CSKA 19480–1L
6 Apr@ Septemvri Sofia0–0D
22 Marvs Lokomotiv Plovdiv1–2L
4 Mar@ CSKA Sofia0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Spartak Varna – last 6

LDWLLL
24 Aprvs Beroe1–2L
16 Apr@ Septemvri Sofia0–0D
10 Aprvs Dobrudzha1–0W
19 Marvs Ludogorets1–5L
14 Marvs CSKA 19481–2L
6 Mar@ Slavia Sofia0–4L
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Botev Vratsa and Spartak Varna.

Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

More First League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna?

On our numbers Botev Vratsa have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Spartak Varna 25%.

How many goals will there be in Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna?

Our predicted score is Botev Vratsa 1–1 Spartak Varna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna?

Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna (First League) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Hristo Botev Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.