Value bet: Lokomotiv Sofia to win @ 2.75 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLokomotiv Sofia to win ✓40% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.31
Dobrudzha vs Lokomotiv Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Dobrudzha welcome Lokomotiv Sofia to Stadion Druzhba for a First League fixture on Friday 1 May (18:00 WAT).
Current form
Dobrudzha, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Montana, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Lokomotiv Sofia, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Septemvri Sofia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Lokomotiv Sofia, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.2 for Dobrudzha.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Mar 2026) it ended Lokomotiv Sofia 3–1 Dobrudzha.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dobrudzha 1.3 xG, Lokomotiv Sofia 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dobrudzha 35%, draw 25%, Lokomotiv Sofia 40%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Lokomotiv Sofia to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dobrudzha 1–1 Lokomotiv Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dobrudzha35%fair 2.89 · @2.40
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.20
Lokomotiv Sofia40%fair 2.47 · @2.75
2.74Expected goals
1.27Dobrudzha xG
1.47Lokomotiv Sofia xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Dobrudzha 1.3 – 1.5 Lokomotiv Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Dobrudzha vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Dobrudzha vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
On our numbers Dobrudzha have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lokomotiv Sofia 40%.
How many goals will there be in Dobrudzha vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dobrudzha vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Our predicted score is Dobrudzha 1–1 Lokomotiv Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Dobrudzha vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Dobrudzha vs Lokomotiv Sofia (First League) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Druzhba.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Montana1