Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSeptemvri Sofia to win ✗54% · @1.70
Double chanceSeptemvri Sofia or draw ✓80% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.72
Septemvri Sofia vs Montana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Montana travel to face Septemvri Sofia on Friday 1 May in the First League, with Stadion Dragalevtsi the venue – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT.
Current form
Septemvri Sofia, last 5: DDWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Lokomotiv Sofia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Montana, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Dobrudzha, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Feb 2026) it ended Septemvri Sofia 1–0 Montana.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Septemvri Sofia 1.6 xG, Montana 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Septemvri Sofia 54%, draw 26%, Montana 20%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Septemvri Sofia 1–0 Montana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Septemvri Sofia54%fair 1.84 · @1.70
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.30
Montana20%fair 5.10 · @4.80
2.44Expected goals
1.55Septemvri Sofia xG
0.89Montana xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Septemvri Sofia 1.6 – 0.9 Montana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Septemvri Sofia vs Montana?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Septemvri Sofia vs Montana?
On our numbers Septemvri Sofia have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Montana 20%.
How many goals will there be in Septemvri Sofia vs Montana?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Septemvri Sofia vs Montana?
Our predicted score is Septemvri Sofia 1–0 Montana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Septemvri Sofia vs Montana?
Septemvri Sofia vs Montana (First League) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Dragalevtsi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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