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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Beroe v Montana: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Stadion Beroe

Beroe

WWDLW
2–2
FT

Montana

DWDLL
Beroe 54%Draw 25%Montana 21% Expected goals 1.56 – 0.91
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultBeroe to win ✗54% · @1.91
Double chanceBeroe or draw ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.66

Beroe vs Montana: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Beroe welcome Montana to Stadion Beroe for a First League fixture on Tuesday 5 May (15:30 WAT).

Current form

Beroe, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Slavia Sofia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Montana, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Septemvri Sofia, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Beroe, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Montana.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Montana 0–1 Beroe.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Beroe 1.6 xG, Montana 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Beroe 54%, draw 25%, Montana 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Beroe or draw (79%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.93.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Beroe 1–0 Montana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Beroe54%fair 1.84 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.20
Montana21%fair 4.84 · @3.75
2.47Expected goals
1.56Beroe xG
0.91Montana xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%

From our goals model: Beroe 1.6 – 0.9 Montana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBeroe to win ✗54%1.841.91
Double chanceBeroe or draw ✓79%1.261.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.871.93
Draw no betBeroe (draw no bet)72%1.38–
Asian handicapMontana +1 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.461.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.781.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77%1.301.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreBeroe to score first ✗58%1.73–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Beroe / FT Beroe ✗32%3.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.66–

Recent results

Beroe – last 6

WWDLWL
2 Mayvs Slavia Sofia3–0W
24 Apr@ Spartak Varna2–1W
13 Aprvs Lokomotiv Plovdiv0–0D
9 Apr@ Lokomotiv Sofia1–2L
22 Mar@ Montana1–0W
15 Marvs Levski Sofia0–1L
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Montana – last 6

DWDLLL
1 May@ Septemvri Sofia1–1D
27 Aprvs Dobrudzha1–0W
16 Aprvs Slavia Sofia0–0D
8 Aprvs CSKA Sofia0–1L
4 Apr@ Arda Kardzhali1–2L
22 Marvs Beroe0–1L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Mar 2026Montana v Beroe0–1
Beroe vs Montana head-to-head page →

More First League predictions

League hub
FT Lokomotiv Sofia2 Botev Vratsa2 150%1.95X27%3.30223%3.45 1.5–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Beroe vs Montana?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Beroe vs Montana?

On our numbers Beroe have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Montana 21%.

How many goals will there be in Beroe vs Montana?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Beroe vs Montana?

Our predicted score is Beroe 1–0 Montana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Beroe vs Montana?

Beroe vs Montana (First League) kicks off on Tuesday 5 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Beroe.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.