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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lokomotiv Sofia v Botev Vratsa: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Stadion Lokomotiv

Lokomotiv Sofia

WDLWL
2–2
FT

Botev Vratsa

DWLDL
Lokomotiv Sofia 50%Draw 27%Botev Vratsa 23% Expected goals 1.48 – 1.02
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultLokomotiv Sofia to win ✗50% · @1.95
Double chanceLokomotiv Sofia or draw ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.91

Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 5 May the First League brings Lokomotiv Sofia against Botev Vratsa at Stadion Lokomotiv. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Lokomotiv Sofia are 14th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 14 matches; Botev Vratsa are 13th (in the drop zone) with 10. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Lokomotiv Sofia, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Dobrudzha, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Botev Vratsa, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Slavia Sofia, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Lokomotiv Sofia, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Botev Vratsa.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Apr 2026) it ended Botev Vratsa 3–2 Lokomotiv Sofia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv Sofia 1.5 xG, Botev Vratsa 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv Sofia 50%, draw 27%, Botev Vratsa 23%.
  • Lower-risk option: Lokomotiv Sofia or draw (77%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 Botev Vratsa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lokomotiv Sofia50%fair 2.00 · @1.95
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.30
Botev Vratsa23%fair 4.27 · @3.45
2.50Expected goals
1.48Lokomotiv Sofia xG
1.02Botev Vratsa xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: Lokomotiv Sofia 1.5 – 1.0 Botev Vratsa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLokomotiv Sofia to win ✗50%2.001.95
Double chanceLokomotiv Sofia or draw ✓77%1.311.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.741.75
Draw no betLokomotiv Sofia (draw no bet)68%1.47–
Asian handicapBotev Vratsa +1 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.401.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.871.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.341.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreLokomotiv Sofia to score first ✗54%1.84–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lokomotiv Sofia / FT Lokomotiv Sofia ✗28%3.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.91–

Recent results

Lokomotiv Sofia – last 6

WDLWLW
1 May@ Dobrudzha3–0W
27 Aprvs Septemvri Sofia1–1D
14 Apr@ Botev Vratsa2–3L
9 Aprvs Beroe2–1W
3 Apr@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv0–1L
17 Marvs Septemvri Sofia3–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Botev Vratsa – last 6

DWLDLL
26 Apr@ Slavia Sofia1–1D
14 Aprvs Lokomotiv Sofia3–2W
10 Apr@ CSKA 19480–1L
6 Apr@ Septemvri Sofia0–0D
22 Marvs Lokomotiv Plovdiv1–2L
4 Mar@ CSKA Sofia0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Apr 2026Botev Vratsa v Lokomotiv Sofia3–2
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

More First League predictions

League hub
FT Beroe2 Montana2 154%1.91X25%3.20221%3.75 1.6–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?

On our numbers Lokomotiv Sofia have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Botev Vratsa 23%.

How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?

Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 Botev Vratsa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?

Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa (First League) kicks off on Tuesday 5 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.