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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Slavia Sofia v Septemvri Sofia: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov

Slavia Sofia

LDDLW
2–1
FT

Septemvri Sofia

DDDWD
Slavia Sofia 43%Draw 26%Septemvri Sofia 31% Expected goals 1.44 – 0.96
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.35Odds
1

Value bet: Slavia Sofia to win @ 2.50 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSlavia Sofia to win ✓43% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.09

Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:30 WAT, Wednesday 6 May: Slavia Sofia v Septemvri Sofia in the First League, played at Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov. In the table, Slavia Sofia are 8th, lower half, on 14 points after 14 matches; Septemvri Sofia are 12th (in the drop zone) with 11. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Slavia Sofia, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Beroe, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Septemvri Sofia, last 5: DDDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Montana, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (10 Apr 2026) it ended Slavia Sofia 1–2 Septemvri Sofia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Slavia Sofia 1.4 xG, Septemvri Sofia 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Slavia Sofia 43%, draw 26%, Septemvri Sofia 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: Slavia Sofia to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 43%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Slavia Sofia 1–0 Septemvri Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Slavia Sofia43%fair 2.34 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.35
Septemvri Sofia31%fair 3.20 · @2.50
2.39Expected goals
1.44Slavia Sofia xG
0.96Septemvri Sofia xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–113%
2–09%
0–09%
2–19%
0–19%

From our goals model: Slavia Sofia 1.4 – 1.0 Septemvri Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSlavia Sofia to win ✓43%2.342.50 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.781.62
Draw no betSlavia Sofia (draw no bet) ✓58%1.73–
Asian handicapSeptemvri Sofia +1 (Asian handicap)69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.401.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.901.93
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.361.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreSlavia Sofia to score first ✓55%1.83–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Slavia Sofia / FT Slavia Sofia ✓29%3.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.09–

Recent results

Slavia Sofia – last 6

LDDLWL
2 May@ Beroe0–3L
26 Aprvs Botev Vratsa1–1D
16 Apr@ Montana0–0D
10 Aprvs Septemvri Sofia1–2L
5 Apr@ Cherno More Varna3–1W
20 Marvs Botev Plovdiv0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Septemvri Sofia – last 6

DDDWDL
1 Mayvs Montana1–1D
27 Apr@ Lokomotiv Sofia1–1D
16 Aprvs Spartak Varna0–0D
10 Apr@ Slavia Sofia2–1W
6 Aprvs Botev Vratsa0–0D
21 Marvs Arda Kardzhali1–4L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Apr 2026Slavia Sofia v Septemvri Sofia1–2
Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

More First League predictions

League hub
FT Spartak Varna1 Dobrudzha1 144%2.90X24%3.20232%2.25 1.6–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 72%@1.38 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?

On our numbers Slavia Sofia have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Septemvri Sofia 31%.

How many goals will there be in Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?

Our predicted score is Slavia Sofia 1–0 Septemvri Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?

Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia (First League) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.