Value bet: Spartak Varna to win @ 2.90 – our chance 44% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSpartak Varna to win ✗44% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.60
Spartak Varna vs Dobrudzha: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 6 May the First League brings Spartak Varna against Dobrudzha at Stadion Spartak. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT.
Current form
Spartak Varna, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Beroe, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Dobrudzha, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Lokomotiv Sofia, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Spartak Varna, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.2 for Dobrudzha.
Head to head
When they last met (10 Apr 2026) it ended Spartak Varna 1–0 Dobrudzha.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spartak Varna 1.6 xG, Dobrudzha 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spartak Varna 44%, draw 24%, Dobrudzha 32%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Spartak Varna to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartak Varna 1–1 Dobrudzha. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spartak Varna44%fair 2.28 · @2.90
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.20
Dobrudzha32%fair 3.11 · @2.25
2.72Expected goals
1.60Spartak Varna xG
1.12Dobrudzha xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Spartak Varna 1.6 – 1.1 Dobrudzha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Spartak Varna vs Dobrudzha?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Spartak Varna vs Dobrudzha?
On our numbers Spartak Varna have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Dobrudzha 32%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Varna vs Dobrudzha?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Varna vs Dobrudzha?
Our predicted score is Spartak Varna 1–1 Dobrudzha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Spartak Varna vs Dobrudzha?
Spartak Varna vs Dobrudzha (First League) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
