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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Botev Vratsa v Septemvri Sofia: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Hristo Botev Stadium

Botev Vratsa

DDWLD
1–1
FT

Septemvri Sofia

LDDDW
Botev Vratsa 44%Draw 26%Septemvri Sofia 30% Expected goals 1.35 – 1.06
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultBotev Vratsa to win ✗44% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.55

Botev Vratsa vs Septemvri Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:45 WAT, Sunday 10 May: Botev Vratsa v Septemvri Sofia in the First League, played at Hristo Botev Stadium. In the table, Botev Vratsa are 13th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 14 matches; Septemvri Sofia are 12th (in the drop zone) with 11. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Botev Vratsa, last 5: DDWLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Lokomotiv Sofia, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Septemvri Sofia, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Slavia Sofia, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended Septemvri Sofia 0–0 Botev Vratsa.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Botev Vratsa 1.3 xG, Septemvri Sofia 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Botev Vratsa 44%, draw 26%, Septemvri Sofia 30%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botev Vratsa 1–1 Septemvri Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Botev Vratsa44%fair 2.28 · @2.15
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.40
Septemvri Sofia30%fair 3.33 · @3.00
2.41Expected goals
1.35Botev Vratsa xG
1.06Septemvri Sofia xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%

From our goals model: Botev Vratsa 1.3 – 1.1 Septemvri Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBotev Vratsa to win ✗44%2.282.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.351.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.781.60
Draw no betBotev Vratsa (draw no bet)59%1.69–
Asian handicapSeptemvri Sofia +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.921.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.371.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreBotev Vratsa to score first51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Botev Vratsa / FT Botev Vratsa ✗25%3.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.55–

Recent results

Botev Vratsa – last 6

DDWLDL
5 May@ Lokomotiv Sofia2–2D
26 Apr@ Slavia Sofia1–1D
14 Aprvs Lokomotiv Sofia3–2W
10 Apr@ CSKA 19480–1L
6 Apr@ Septemvri Sofia0–0D
22 Marvs Lokomotiv Plovdiv1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Septemvri Sofia – last 6

LDDDWD
6 May@ Slavia Sofia1–2L
1 Mayvs Montana1–1D
27 Apr@ Lokomotiv Sofia1–1D
16 Aprvs Spartak Varna0–0D
10 Apr@ Slavia Sofia2–1W
6 Aprvs Botev Vratsa0–0D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Apr 2026Septemvri Sofia v Botev Vratsa0–0
Botev Vratsa vs Septemvri Sofia head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

More First League predictions

League hub
FT Spartak Varna2 Slavia Sofia1 136%2.25X27%3.30238%2.85 1.2–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.35 ✓
– Dobrudzha Beroe 149%1.67X24%3.55227%4.60 1.4–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.25

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Botev Vratsa vs Septemvri Sofia?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Botev Vratsa vs Septemvri Sofia?

On our numbers Botev Vratsa have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Septemvri Sofia 30%.

How many goals will there be in Botev Vratsa vs Septemvri Sofia?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Botev Vratsa vs Septemvri Sofia?

Our predicted score is Botev Vratsa 1–1 Septemvri Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Botev Vratsa vs Septemvri Sofia?

Botev Vratsa vs Septemvri Sofia (First League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time) at Hristo Botev Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.