Value bet: Slavia Sofia to win @ 2.85 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSlavia Sofia to win ✗38% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.00
Spartak Varna vs Slavia Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:15 WAT, Sunday 10 May: Spartak Varna v Slavia Sofia in the First League, played at Stadion Spartak. In the table, Spartak Varna are 7th, upper half, on 16 points after 14 matches; Slavia Sofia are 8th (lower half) with 14. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Spartak Varna, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dobrudzha, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Slavia Sofia, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Septemvri Sofia, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Mar 2026) it ended Slavia Sofia 4–0 Spartak Varna.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spartak Varna 1.2 xG, Slavia Sofia 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spartak Varna 36%, draw 27%, Slavia Sofia 38%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Slavia Sofia to win @2.85 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartak Varna 1–1 Slavia Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spartak Varna36%fair 2.80 · @2.25
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.30
Slavia Sofia38%fair 2.65 · @2.85
2.44Expected goals
1.15Spartak Varna xG
1.29Slavia Sofia xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Spartak Varna 1.2 – 1.3 Slavia Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Spartak Varna vs Slavia Sofia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Spartak Varna vs Slavia Sofia?
On our numbers Spartak Varna have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Slavia Sofia 38%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Varna vs Slavia Sofia?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Varna vs Slavia Sofia?
Our predicted score is Spartak Varna 1–1 Slavia Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Spartak Varna vs Slavia Sofia?
Spartak Varna vs Slavia Sofia (First League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 12:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dobrudzha
Beroe