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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lokomotiv Sofia v Beroe: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Stadion Lokomotiv

Lokomotiv Sofia

DDWDL
1–1
FT

Beroe

DWWDL
Lokomotiv Sofia 52%Draw 24%Beroe 23% Expected goals 1.67 – 1.12
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultLokomotiv Sofia to win ✗52% · @1.77
Double chanceLokomotiv Sofia or draw ✓77% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.41

Lokomotiv Sofia vs Beroe: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:15 WAT, Thursday 14 May: Lokomotiv Sofia v Beroe in the First League, played at Stadion Lokomotiv.

Current form

Lokomotiv Sofia, last 5: DDWDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Montana, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Beroe, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Montana, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (9 Apr 2026) it ended Lokomotiv Sofia 2–1 Beroe.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv Sofia 1.7 xG, Beroe 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv Sofia 52%, draw 24%, Beroe 23%.
  • Lower-risk option: Lokomotiv Sofia or draw (77%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 Beroe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lokomotiv Sofia52%fair 1.91 · @1.77
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.50
Beroe23%fair 4.31 · @4.00
2.79Expected goals
1.67Lokomotiv Sofia xG
1.12Beroe xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
1–26%

From our goals model: Lokomotiv Sofia 1.7 – 1.1 Beroe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLokomotiv Sofia to win ✗52%1.911.77
Double chanceLokomotiv Sofia or draw ✓77%1.301.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.741.70
Draw no betLokomotiv Sofia (draw no bet)69%1.44–
Asian handicapBeroe +1 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.911.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.451.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreLokomotiv Sofia to score first ✗56%1.78–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.45–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lokomotiv Sofia / FT Lokomotiv Sofia ✗31%3.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.41–

Recent results

Lokomotiv Sofia – last 6

DDWDLW
9 May@ Montana2–2D
5 Mayvs Botev Vratsa2–2D
1 May@ Dobrudzha3–0W
27 Aprvs Septemvri Sofia1–1D
14 Apr@ Botev Vratsa2–3L
9 Aprvs Beroe2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Beroe – last 6

DWWDLW
5 Mayvs Montana2–2D
2 Mayvs Slavia Sofia3–0W
24 Apr@ Spartak Varna2–1W
13 Aprvs Lokomotiv Plovdiv0–0D
9 Apr@ Lokomotiv Sofia1–2L
22 Mar@ Montana1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Apr 2026Lokomotiv Sofia v Beroe2–1
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Beroe head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

More First League predictions

League hub
FT Septemvri Sofia1 Spartak Varna0 150%1.77X26%3.45224%4.10 1.5–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✓
FT Botev Vratsa1 Montana0 154%1.70X26%3.45220%4.50 1.5–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Beroe?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Lokomotiv Sofia vs Beroe?

On our numbers Lokomotiv Sofia have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Beroe 23%.

How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Sofia vs Beroe?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Beroe?

Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 Beroe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Lokomotiv Sofia vs Beroe?

Lokomotiv Sofia vs Beroe (First League) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.