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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Septemvri Sofia v Spartak Varna: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Stadion Dragalevtsi

Septemvri Sofia

DLDDD
1–0
FT

Spartak Varna

WDLDW
Septemvri Sofia 50%Draw 26%Spartak Varna 24% Expected goals 1.49 – 1.13
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultSeptemvri Sofia to win ✓50% · @1.77
Double chanceSeptemvri Sofia or draw ✓76% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.94

Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 14 May the First League brings Septemvri Sofia against Spartak Varna at Stadion Dragalevtsi. Kick-off: 13:15 WAT. In the table, Septemvri Sofia are 12th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 14 matches; Spartak Varna are 7th (upper half) with 16.

Current form

Septemvri Sofia, last 5: DLDDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Botev Vratsa, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Spartak Varna, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Slavia Sofia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (16 Apr 2026) it ended Septemvri Sofia 0–0 Spartak Varna.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Septemvri Sofia 1.5 xG, Spartak Varna 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Septemvri Sofia 50%, draw 26%, Spartak Varna 24%.
  • Lower-risk option: Septemvri Sofia or draw (76%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Septemvri Sofia 1–1 Spartak Varna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Septemvri Sofia50%fair 2.00 · @1.77
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.45
Spartak Varna24%fair 4.16 · @4.10
2.62Expected goals
1.49Septemvri Sofia xG
1.13Spartak Varna xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: Septemvri Sofia 1.5 – 1.1 Spartak Varna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSeptemvri Sofia to win ✓50%2.001.77
Double chanceSeptemvri Sofia or draw ✓76%1.321.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.761.80
Draw no betSeptemvri Sofia (draw no bet) ✓68%1.48–
Asian handicapSpartak Varna +1 (Asian handicap)71%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.381.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.931.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.371.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.14–
First team to scoreSeptemvri Sofia to score first ✓53%1.89–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Septemvri Sofia / FT Septemvri Sofia ✓27%3.70–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.94–

Recent results

Septemvri Sofia – last 6

DLDDDW
10 May@ Botev Vratsa1–1D
6 May@ Slavia Sofia1–2L
1 Mayvs Montana1–1D
27 Apr@ Lokomotiv Sofia1–1D
16 Aprvs Spartak Varna0–0D
10 Apr@ Slavia Sofia2–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Spartak Varna – last 6

WDLDWL
10 Mayvs Slavia Sofia2–1W
6 Mayvs Dobrudzha1–1D
24 Aprvs Beroe1–2L
16 Apr@ Septemvri Sofia0–0D
10 Aprvs Dobrudzha1–0W
19 Marvs Ludogorets1–5L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Apr 2026Septemvri Sofia v Spartak Varna0–0
Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

More First League predictions

League hub
FT Botev Vratsa1 Montana0 154%1.70X26%3.45220%4.50 1.5–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.28 ✓
FT Lokomotiv Sofia1 Beroe1 152%1.77X24%3.50223%4.00 1.7–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna?

On our numbers Septemvri Sofia have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Spartak Varna 24%.

How many goals will there be in Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna?

Our predicted score is Septemvri Sofia 1–1 Spartak Varna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna?

Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna (First League) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Dragalevtsi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.