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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Septemvri Sofia v Dobrudzha: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Stadion Dragalevtsi
1–1
FT
Septemvri Sofia 64%Draw 21%Dobrudzha 15% Expected goals 1.79 – 0.88
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 54% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSeptemvri Sofia to win ✗64% · @1.25
Double chanceSeptemvri Sofia or draw ✓85% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25

Septemvri Sofia vs Dobrudzha: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Septemvri Sofia welcome Dobrudzha to Stadion Dragalevtsi for a First League fixture on Friday 22 May (16:00 WAT).

Current form

Septemvri Sofia, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Beroe, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Dobrudzha, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Botev Vratsa, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Septemvri Sofia, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Dobrudzha.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Septemvri Sofia 1.8 xG, Dobrudzha 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Septemvri Sofia 64%, draw 21%, Dobrudzha 15%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.15.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Septemvri Sofia 2–0 Dobrudzha. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Septemvri Sofia64%fair 1.57 · @1.25
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @5.00
Dobrudzha15%fair 6.62 · @9.50
2.66Expected goals
1.79Septemvri Sofia xG
0.88Dobrudzha xG
54%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Septemvri Sofia 1.8 – 0.9 Dobrudzha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSeptemvri Sofia to win ✗64%1.571.25
Double chanceSeptemvri Sofia or draw ✓85%1.181.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.852.15 ▲
Draw no betSeptemvri Sofia (draw no bet)81%1.24–
Asian handicapDobrudzha +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.921.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.441.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreSeptemvri Sofia to score first ✓62%1.60–
Half-time resultSeptemvri Sofia ahead at half-time ✓42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Septemvri Sofia / FT Septemvri Sofia ✗37%2.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.25–

Recent results

Septemvri Sofia – last 6

WWDLDD
18 May@ Beroe1–0W
14 Mayvs Spartak Varna1–0W
10 May@ Botev Vratsa1–1D
6 May@ Slavia Sofia1–2L
1 Mayvs Montana1–1D
27 Apr@ Lokomotiv Sofia1–1D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Dobrudzha – last 6

LWDLLL
18 Mayvs Botev Vratsa1–2L
13 May@ Slavia Sofia2–0W
6 May@ Spartak Varna1–1D
1 Mayvs Lokomotiv Sofia0–3L
27 Apr@ Montana0–1L
14 Aprvs Botev Plovdiv0–3L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Septemvri Sofia and Dobrudzha.

Septemvri Sofia vs Dobrudzha head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

More First League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Septemvri Sofia vs Dobrudzha?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Septemvri Sofia vs Dobrudzha?

On our numbers Septemvri Sofia have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dobrudzha 15%.

How many goals will there be in Septemvri Sofia vs Dobrudzha?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Septemvri Sofia vs Dobrudzha?

Our predicted score is Septemvri Sofia 2–0 Dobrudzha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Septemvri Sofia vs Dobrudzha?

Septemvri Sofia vs Dobrudzha (First League) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Dragalevtsi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.