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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Spartak Varna v Lokomotiv Sofia: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Stadion Spartak

Spartak Varna

WLWDL
3–0
FT

Lokomotiv Sofia

WDDDW
Spartak Varna 55%Draw 23%Lokomotiv Sofia 22% Expected goals 1.75 – 1.16
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultSpartak Varna to win ✓55% · @1.60
Double chanceSpartak Varna or draw ✓78% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.34

Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Spartak Varna welcome Lokomotiv Sofia to Stadion Spartak for a First League fixture on Friday 22 May (16:00 WAT). In the table, Spartak Varna are 7th, upper half, on 16 points after 14 matches; Lokomotiv Sofia are 14th (in the drop zone) with 9.

Current form

Spartak Varna, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Montana, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Lokomotiv Sofia, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Slavia Sofia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Feb 2026) it ended Spartak Varna 2–2 Lokomotiv Sofia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Spartak Varna 1.8 xG, Lokomotiv Sofia 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Spartak Varna 55%, draw 23%, Lokomotiv Sofia 22%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartak Varna 1–1 Lokomotiv Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Spartak Varna55%fair 1.81 · @1.60
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.75
Lokomotiv Sofia22%fair 4.61 · @4.75
2.92Expected goals
1.75Spartak Varna xG
1.16Lokomotiv Sofia xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–26%
0–16%

From our goals model: Spartak Varna 1.8 – 1.2 Lokomotiv Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSpartak Varna to win ✓55%1.811.60
Double chanceSpartak Varna or draw ✓78%1.281.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.611.67
Draw no betSpartak Varna (draw no bet) ✓72%1.39–
Asian handicapLokomotiv Sofia +1 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.291.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.811.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.511.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
First team to scoreSpartak Varna to score first ✓57%1.76–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.51–
Half-time / full-timeHT Spartak Varna / FT Spartak Varna ✓31%3.19–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.34–

Recent results

Spartak Varna – last 6

WLWDLD
18 May@ Montana2–0W
14 May@ Septemvri Sofia0–1L
10 Mayvs Slavia Sofia2–1W
6 Mayvs Dobrudzha1–1D
24 Aprvs Beroe1–2L
16 Apr@ Septemvri Sofia0–0D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Lokomotiv Sofia – last 6

WDDDWD
18 Mayvs Slavia Sofia2–0W
14 Mayvs Beroe1–1D
9 May@ Montana2–2D
5 Mayvs Botev Vratsa2–2D
1 May@ Dobrudzha3–0W
27 Aprvs Septemvri Sofia1–1D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Feb 2026Spartak Varna v Lokomotiv Sofia2–2
Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

More First League predictions

League hub
FT Slavia Sofia2 Montana0 161%1.55X24%3.80216%5.25 1.7–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.35 ✓
FT Botev Vratsa3 Beroe0 139%2.50X26%3.30236%2.50 1.2–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓
FT Septemvri Sofia1 Dobrudzha1 164%1.25X21%5.00215%9.50 1.8–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia?

On our numbers Spartak Varna have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lokomotiv Sofia 22%.

How many goals will there be in Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia?

Our predicted score is Spartak Varna 1–1 Lokomotiv Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia?

Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia (First League) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.