Value bet: Ethiopian Medhin to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultEthiopian Medhin to win ✓41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.06
Ethiopian Medhin vs Awassa Kenema: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ethiopian Medhin welcome Awassa Kenema for a Premier League fixture on Wednesday 29 April (11:00 WAT). In the table, Ethiopian Medhin are 6th, upper half, on 7 points after 4 matches; Awassa Kenema are 11th (lower half) with 5. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Ethiopian Medhin, last 5: WDDDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Bench Maji Bunna, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Awassa Kenema, last 5: DDLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Mekelakeya, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ethiopian Medhin 1.2 xG, Awassa Kenema 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ethiopian Medhin 41%, draw 29%, Awassa Kenema 30%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Ethiopian Medhin to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ethiopian Medhin 1–0 Awassa Kenema. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ethiopian Medhin41%fair 2.43 · @2.62
Draw29%fair 3.41 · @2.50
Awassa Kenema30%fair 3.38 · @2.80
2.17Expected goals
1.25Ethiopian Medhin xG
0.93Awassa Kenema xG
49%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Ethiopian Medhin 1.2 – 0.9 Awassa Kenema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ethiopian Medhin to win✓
41%
2.43
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.41
1.44
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.55
Draw no bet
Ethiopian Medhin (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Awassa Kenema +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Ethiopian Medhin to score first
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ethiopian Medhin / FT Ethiopian Medhin✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.06
–
Recent results
Ethiopian Medhin – last 6
WDDDDD
24 Apr
@ Bench Maji Bunna
2–0
W
20 Apr
@ Mebrat Hayl
1–1
D
15 Apr
vs Bahardar
1–1
D
9 Apr
@ Negelle Arsi
1–1
D
9 Mar
vs Hadiya Hosaena
1–1
D
3 Mar
@ Sheger Ketema
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Awassa Kenema – last 6
DDLDWD
19 Apr
@ Mekelakeya
0–0
D
15 Apr
vs Suhul Shire
0–0
D
9 Apr
@ Fasil Ketema
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni
2–2
D
10 Mar
vs Mekelle Kenema
1–0
W
4 Mar
@ Welayta Dicha
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ethiopian Medhin and Awassa Kenema.
What is the prediction for Ethiopian Medhin vs Awassa Kenema?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Ethiopian Medhin vs Awassa Kenema?
On our numbers Ethiopian Medhin have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Awassa Kenema 30%.
How many goals will there be in Ethiopian Medhin vs Awassa Kenema?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ethiopian Medhin vs Awassa Kenema?
Our predicted score is Ethiopian Medhin 1–0 Awassa Kenema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Ethiopian Medhin vs Awassa Kenema?
Ethiopian Medhin vs Awassa Kenema (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dire Dawa Kenema1