Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.40 – our chance 52% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMekelle Kenema to win ✗39% · @2.50
Double chanceMekelle Kenema or draw ✗70% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.40
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.16
Mekelle Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Tuesday 5 May: Mekelle Kenema v Arba Minch Kenema in the Premier League.
Current form
Mekelle Kenema, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Hadiya Hosaena, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Arba Minch Kenema, last 5: DDDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Ethiopia Nigd Bank, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Arba Minch Kenema, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Mekelle Kenema.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mekelle Kenema 1.1 xG, Arba Minch Kenema 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mekelle Kenema 39%, draw 31%, Arba Minch Kenema 30%.
Lower-risk option: Mekelle Kenema or draw (70%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.40.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mekelle Kenema or draw (70%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mekelle Kenema 1–0 Arba Minch Kenema. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mekelle Kenema39%fair 2.56 · @2.50
Draw31%fair 3.28 · @2.50
Arba Minch Kenema30%fair 3.29 · @3.00
2.09Expected goals
1.13Mekelle Kenema xG
0.96Arba Minch Kenema xG
52%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Mekelle Kenema 1.1 – 1.0 Arba Minch Kenema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mekelle Kenema to win✗
39%
2.56
2.50
Double chance
Mekelle Kenema or draw✗
70%
1.44
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
2.40 ▲
Draw no bet
Mekelle Kenema (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Arba Minch Kenema +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Mekelle Kenema to score first✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mekelle Kenema / FT Mekelle Kenema✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.16
–
Recent results
Mekelle Kenema – last 6
DWLDLL
30 Apr
@ Hadiya Hosaena
1–1
D
13 Apr
vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni
2–1
W
8 Apr
@ Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0–3
L
15 Mar
vs Welayta Dicha
0–0
D
10 Mar
@ Awassa Kenema
0–1
L
5 Mar
vs Dire Dawa Kenema
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Arba Minch Kenema – last 6
DDDLWW
30 Apr
vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Ethiopia Bunna
1–1
D
13 Apr
vs Kedus Giorgis
2–2
D
9 Apr
vs Hadiya Hosaena
0–1
L
3 Apr
@ Sheger Ketema
2–1
W
10 Mar
@ Adama Kenema
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mekelle Kenema and Arba Minch Kenema.
What is the prediction for Mekelle Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema?
Our pick is Mekelle Kenema or draw with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Mekelle Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema?
On our numbers Mekelle Kenema have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Arba Minch Kenema 30%.
How many goals will there be in Mekelle Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mekelle Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema?
Our predicted score is Mekelle Kenema 1–0 Arba Minch Kenema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Mekelle Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema?
Mekelle Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 5 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank2
Kedus Giorgis0
Suhul Shire1
Mebrat Hayl0