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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Suhul Shire v Mebrat Hayl: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Ethiopia
1–0
FT
Suhul Shire 26%Draw 33%Mebrat Hayl 41% Expected goals 0.67 – 0.85
74%
Betarazi pick

Mebrat Hayl or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultMebrat Hayl to win ✗41% · @2.10
Double chanceMebrat Hayl or draw ✗74% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.40
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.38

Suhul Shire vs Mebrat Hayl: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 5 May the Premier League brings Suhul Shire against Mebrat Hayl. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT.

Current form

Suhul Shire, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bahardar, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Mebrat Hayl, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Mekelakeya, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Mebrat Hayl, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Suhul Shire.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Suhul Shire 0.7 xG, Mebrat Hayl 0.8 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 80%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Suhul Shire 26%, draw 33%, Mebrat Hayl 41%.
  • Lower-risk option: Mebrat Hayl or draw (74%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Mebrat Hayl or draw (74%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Suhul Shire 0–0 Mebrat Hayl. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Suhul Shire26%fair 3.81 · @3.90
Draw33%fair 3.01 · @2.50
Mebrat Hayl41%fair 2.47 · @2.10
1.52Expected goals
0.67Suhul Shire xG
0.85Mebrat Hayl xG
46%Both score
20%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–022%
0–119%
1–015%
1–112%
0–28%
1–25%

From our goals model: Suhul Shire 0.7 – 0.8 Mebrat Hayl expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMebrat Hayl to win ✗41%2.472.10
Double chanceMebrat Hayl or draw ✗74%1.361.20
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.851.40
Draw no betMebrat Hayl (draw no bet) ✗61%1.65–
Asian handicapSuhul Shire +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✓55%1.81–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓80%1.24–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓98%1.02–
First team to scoreMebrat Hayl to score first ✗44%2.29–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗57%1.75–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗29%3.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19%5.38–

Recent results

Suhul Shire – last 6

DLDLDL
1 May@ Bahardar1–1D
20 Aprvs Welayta Dicha0–1L
15 Apr@ Awassa Kenema0–0D
8 Aprvs Dire Dawa Kenema0–1L
3 Apr@ Mekelakeya1–1D
13 Mar@ Sidama Bunna0–2L
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Mebrat Hayl – last 6

LDWLDW
29 Aprvs Mekelakeya0–1L
20 Aprvs Ethiopian Medhin1–1D
14 Apr@ Adama Kenema1–0W
8 Apr@ Kedus Giorgis1–2L
3 Aprvs Bahardar0–0D
15 Mar@ Negelle Arsi2–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Suhul Shire and Mebrat Hayl.

Suhul Shire vs Mebrat Hayl head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Negelle Arsi5320+511
2Mekelakeya5311+310
3Welayta Dicha5221+68
4Ethiopia Nigd Bank522108
5Halaba Ketema5221-48
6Ethiopian Medhin4211+27
7Bahardar4211+27
8Mebrat Hayl521207
9Kedus Giorgis513106
10Adama Kenema513106
11Awassa Kenema412105
12Sheger Ketema5122-15
13Hadiya Hosaena4112-14
14Ethiopia Bunna5113-44
15Fasil Ketema4031-13
16Sidama Bunna2011-11
17Welwalo Adigrat Uni2011-21
18Gamo Chencha4013-41

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Suhul Shire vs Mebrat Hayl?

Our pick is Mebrat Hayl or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Suhul Shire vs Mebrat Hayl?

On our numbers Suhul Shire have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 33% and Mebrat Hayl 41%.

How many goals will there be in Suhul Shire vs Mebrat Hayl?

We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 20% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Suhul Shire vs Mebrat Hayl?

Our predicted score is Suhul Shire 0–0 Mebrat Hayl, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.

When is Suhul Shire vs Mebrat Hayl?

Suhul Shire vs Mebrat Hayl (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 5 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.