Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.33Odds
Picks by market
ResultBahardar to win ✓35% · @2.62
Double chanceBahardar or draw ✓68% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.33
Fasil Ketema vs Bahardar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Wednesday 6 May: Fasil Ketema v Bahardar in the Premier League. In the table, Fasil Ketema are 15th, lower half, on 3 points after 4 matches; Bahardar are 7th (upper half) with 7.
Current form
Fasil Ketema, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Negelle Arsi, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Bahardar, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Suhul Shire, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fasil Ketema 0.8 xG, Bahardar 0.8 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 76%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fasil Ketema 32%, draw 33%, Bahardar 35%.
Lower-risk option: Bahardar or draw (68%) at 1.33.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Bahardar or draw (68%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fasil Ketema 0–0 Bahardar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fasil Ketema32%fair 3.08 · @3.00
Draw33%fair 3.06 · @2.40
Bahardar35%fair 2.87 · @2.62
1.67Expected goals
0.83Fasil Ketema xG
0.84Bahardar xG
47%Both score
24%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–019%
0–116%
1–016%
1–113%
0–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Fasil Ketema 0.8 – 0.8 Bahardar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bahardar to win✓
35%
2.87
2.62
Double chance
Bahardar or draw✓
68%
1.48
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.50
Draw no bet
Bahardar (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Fasil Ketema +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Bahardar to score first✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.33
–
Recent results
Fasil Ketema – last 6
DWWDDD
30 Apr
@ Negelle Arsi
0–0
D
14 Apr
@ Welayta Dicha
1–0
W
9 Apr
vs Awassa Kenema
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Dire Dawa Kenema
0–0
D
13 Mar
vs Mekelakeya
0–0
D
9 Mar
@ Suhul Shire
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Bahardar – last 6
DLDWDW
1 May
vs Suhul Shire
1–1
D
20 Apr
vs Sheger Ketema
0–2
L
15 Apr
@ Ethiopian Medhin
1–1
D
10 Apr
vs Adama Kenema
2–1
W
3 Apr
@ Mebrat Hayl
0–0
D
13 Mar
@ Kedus Giorgis
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fasil Ketema and Bahardar.
What is the prediction for Fasil Ketema vs Bahardar?
Our pick is Bahardar or draw with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Fasil Ketema vs Bahardar?
On our numbers Fasil Ketema have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 33% and Bahardar 35%.
How many goals will there be in Fasil Ketema vs Bahardar?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fasil Ketema vs Bahardar?
Our predicted score is Fasil Ketema 0–0 Bahardar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Fasil Ketema vs Bahardar?
Fasil Ketema vs Bahardar (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
