Ethiopian Medhin vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ethiopia Nigd Bank travel to face Ethiopian Medhin on Monday 11 May in the Premier League – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Ethiopian Medhin are 6th, upper half, on 7 points after 4 matches; Ethiopia Nigd Bank are 4th (among the top four) with 8. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Ethiopian Medhin, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sidama Bunna, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Kedus Giorgis, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ethiopian Medhin 1.2 xG, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ethiopian Medhin 40%, draw 29%, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 31%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.20.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 2.20 – longer than our fair 1.98, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ethiopian Medhin 1–1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ethiopian Medhin40%fair 2.50 · @2.40
Draw29%fair 3.40 · @2.62
Ethiopia Nigd Bank31%fair 3.27 · @3.00
2.20Expected goals
1.23Ethiopian Medhin xG
0.97Ethiopia Nigd Bank xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Ethiopian Medhin 1.2 – 1.0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ethiopian Medhin to win✓
40%
2.50
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.42
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Ethiopian Medhin (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Ethiopia Nigd Bank +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Ethiopian Medhin to score first
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ethiopian Medhin / FT Ethiopian Medhin✗
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
12.33
–
Recent results
Ethiopian Medhin – last 6
WWWDDD
6 May
@ Sidama Bunna
1–0
W
29 Apr
vs Awassa Kenema
2–1
W
24 Apr
@ Bench Maji Bunna
2–0
W
20 Apr
@ Mebrat Hayl
1–1
D
15 Apr
vs Bahardar
1–1
D
9 Apr
@ Negelle Arsi
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Ethiopia Nigd Bank – last 6
WDLWDW
5 May
vs Kedus Giorgis
2–0
W
30 Apr
@ Arba Minch Kenema
0–0
D
14 Apr
vs Sidama Bunna
0–1
L
8 Apr
vs Mekelle Kenema
3–0
W
4 Apr
@ Welayta Dicha
0–0
D
9 Mar
@ Dire Dawa Kenema
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ethiopian Medhin and Ethiopia Nigd Bank.
What is the prediction for Ethiopian Medhin vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.
Who will win Ethiopian Medhin vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
On our numbers Ethiopian Medhin have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Ethiopia Nigd Bank 31%.
How many goals will there be in Ethiopian Medhin vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ethiopian Medhin vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
Our predicted score is Ethiopian Medhin 1–1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Ethiopian Medhin vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
Ethiopian Medhin vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dire Dawa Kenema0