Value bet: Welayta Dicha to win @ 2.62 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultWelayta Dicha to win ✗43% · @2.62
Double chanceWelayta Dicha or draw ✓72% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.88
Welayta Dicha vs Kedus Giorgis: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 14 May the Premier League brings Welayta Dicha against Kedus Giorgis. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Welayta Dicha are 3rd, among the top four, on 8 points after 5 matches; Kedus Giorgis are 9th (upper half) with 6. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Welayta Dicha, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Arba Minch Kenema, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Kedus Giorgis, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Mekelle Kenema, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Welayta Dicha, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Kedus Giorgis.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Welayta Dicha 1.3 xG, Kedus Giorgis 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Welayta Dicha 43%, draw 29%, Kedus Giorgis 28%.
Lower-risk option: Welayta Dicha or draw (72%) at 1.36.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Welayta Dicha to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Welayta Dicha or draw (72%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Welayta Dicha 1–0 Kedus Giorgis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Welayta Dicha43%fair 2.32 · @2.62
Draw29%fair 3.44 · @2.50
Kedus Giorgis28%fair 3.60 · @2.80
2.21Expected goals
1.33Welayta Dicha xG
0.88Kedus Giorgis xG
49%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–010%
2–19%
From our goals model: Welayta Dicha 1.3 – 0.9 Kedus Giorgis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Welayta Dicha to win✗
43%
2.32
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Welayta Dicha or draw✓
72%
1.39
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.50
Draw no bet
Welayta Dicha (draw no bet)
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Kedus Giorgis +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Welayta Dicha to score first✗
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Welayta Dicha / FT Welayta Dicha✗
27%
3.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.88
–
Recent results
Welayta Dicha – last 6
WWDWLW
10 May
@ Arba Minch Kenema
3–2
W
4 May
vs Hadiya Hosaena
1–0
W
29 Apr
@ Sheger Ketema
0–0
D
20 Apr
@ Suhul Shire
1–0
W
14 Apr
vs Fasil Ketema
0–1
L
9 Apr
@ Welwalo Adigrat Uni
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Kedus Giorgis – last 6
WLDLWD
9 May
vs Mekelle Kenema
1–0
W
5 May
@ Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0–2
L
1 May
vs Sidama Bunna
0–0
D
26 Apr
vs Ethiopia Bunna
1–3
L
21 Apr
vs Adama Kenema
1–0
W
13 Apr
@ Arba Minch Kenema
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Welayta Dicha and Kedus Giorgis.
What is the prediction for Welayta Dicha vs Kedus Giorgis?
Our pick is Welayta Dicha or draw with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Welayta Dicha vs Kedus Giorgis?
On our numbers Welayta Dicha have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Kedus Giorgis 28%.
How many goals will there be in Welayta Dicha vs Kedus Giorgis?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Welayta Dicha vs Kedus Giorgis?
Our predicted score is Welayta Dicha 1–0 Kedus Giorgis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Welayta Dicha vs Kedus Giorgis?
Welayta Dicha vs Kedus Giorgis (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Suhul Shire1