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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mebrat Hayl v Mekelle Kenema: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Ethiopia
0–0
FT
Mebrat Hayl 38%Draw 33%Mekelle Kenema 30% Expected goals 0.88 – 0.67
70%
Betarazi pick

Mebrat Hayl or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.35Odds

Picks by market

ResultMebrat Hayl to win ✗38% · @2.50
Double chanceMebrat Hayl or draw ✓70% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.37

Mebrat Hayl vs Mekelle Kenema: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Mebrat Hayl welcome Mekelle Kenema for a Premier League fixture on Tuesday 16 June (11:00 WAT).

Current form

Mebrat Hayl, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dire Dawa Kenema, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Mekelle Kenema, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Bahardar, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mebrat Hayl 0.9 xG, Mekelle Kenema 0.7 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 79%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mebrat Hayl 38%, draw 33%, Mekelle Kenema 30%.
  • Lower-risk option: Mebrat Hayl or draw (70%) at 1.35.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Mebrat Hayl or draw (70%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mebrat Hayl 0–0 Mekelle Kenema. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mebrat Hayl38%fair 2.66 · @2.50
Draw33%fair 3.04 · @2.50
Mekelle Kenema30%fair 3.39 · @2.90
1.56Expected goals
0.88Mebrat Hayl xG
0.67Mekelle Kenema xG
46%Both score
21%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–021%
1–019%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%

From our goals model: Mebrat Hayl 0.9 – 0.7 Mekelle Kenema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMebrat Hayl to win ✗38%2.662.50
Double chanceMebrat Hayl or draw ✓70%1.421.35
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.851.60
Draw no betMebrat Hayl (draw no bet)56%1.78–
Asian handicapMekelle Kenema +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✓54%1.86–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓98%1.02–
First team to scoreMebrat Hayl to score first ✗45%2.23–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓56%1.77–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✓28%3.55–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19%5.37–

Recent results

Mebrat Hayl – last 6

DLLDWL
20 Mayvs Dire Dawa Kenema1–1D
5 May@ Suhul Shire0–1L
29 Aprvs Mekelakeya0–1L
20 Aprvs Ethiopian Medhin1–1D
14 Apr@ Adama Kenema1–0W
8 Apr@ Kedus Giorgis1–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Mekelle Kenema – last 6

DWDLLD
30 Mayvs Bahardar0–0D
20 May@ Sheger Ketema1–0W
15 Mayvs Ethiopian Medhin1–1D
9 May@ Kedus Giorgis0–1L
5 Mayvs Arba Minch Kenema0–2L
30 Apr@ Hadiya Hosaena1–1D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mebrat Hayl and Mekelle Kenema.

Mebrat Hayl vs Mekelle Kenema head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Negelle Arsi5320+511
2Mekelakeya5311+310
3Welayta Dicha5221+68
4Ethiopia Nigd Bank522108
5Halaba Ketema5221-48
6Ethiopian Medhin4211+27
7Bahardar4211+27
8Mebrat Hayl521207
9Kedus Giorgis513106
10Adama Kenema513106
11Awassa Kenema412105
12Sheger Ketema5122-15
13Hadiya Hosaena4112-14
14Ethiopia Bunna5113-44
15Fasil Ketema4031-13
16Sidama Bunna2011-11
17Welwalo Adigrat Uni2011-21
18Gamo Chencha4013-41

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mebrat Hayl vs Mekelle Kenema?

Our pick is Mebrat Hayl or draw with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Mebrat Hayl vs Mekelle Kenema?

On our numbers Mebrat Hayl have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 33% and Mekelle Kenema 30%.

How many goals will there be in Mebrat Hayl vs Mekelle Kenema?

We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 21% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mebrat Hayl vs Mekelle Kenema?

Our predicted score is Mebrat Hayl 0–0 Mekelle Kenema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.

When is Mebrat Hayl vs Mekelle Kenema?

Mebrat Hayl vs Mekelle Kenema (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 16 June 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.