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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sheger Ketema v Welwalo Adigrat Uni: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Ethiopia
Sheger Ketema 43%Draw 30%Welwalo Adigrat Uni 27% Expected goals 1.22 – 0.81
73%
Betarazi pick

Sheger Ketema or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultSheger Ketema to win ✗43% · @2.40
Double chanceSheger Ketema or draw ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.22

Sheger Ketema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Tuesday 16 June: Sheger Ketema v Welwalo Adigrat Uni in the Premier League. In the table, Sheger Ketema are 12th, lower half, on 5 points after 5 matches; Welwalo Adigrat Uni are 17th (in the drop zone) with 1.

Current form

Sheger Ketema, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Mekelle Kenema, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Welwalo Adigrat Uni, last 5: DDDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ethiopian Medhin, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Sheger Ketema, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Welwalo Adigrat Uni.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sheger Ketema 1.2 xG, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0.8 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sheger Ketema 43%, draw 30%, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 27%.
  • Lower-risk option: Sheger Ketema or draw (73%) at 1.30.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Sheger Ketema or draw (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sheger Ketema 1–0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sheger Ketema43%fair 2.34 · @2.40
Draw30%fair 3.29 · @2.50
Welwalo Adigrat Uni27%fair 3.72 · @3.20
2.03Expected goals
1.22Sheger Ketema xG
0.81Welwalo Adigrat Uni xG
48%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
0–013%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–18%

From our goals model: Sheger Ketema 1.2 – 0.8 Welwalo Adigrat Uni expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSheger Ketema to win ✗43%2.342.40
Double chanceSheger Ketema or draw ✓73%1.371.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.941.53
Draw no betSheger Ketema (draw no bet)61%1.63–
Asian handicapWelwalo Adigrat Uni +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreSheger Ketema to score first ✗52%1.91–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓49%2.03–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sheger Ketema / FT Sheger Ketema ✗26%3.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.22–

Recent results

Sheger Ketema – last 6

LWDDWD
20 Mayvs Mekelle Kenema0–1L
10 Mayvs Sidama Bunna1–0W
4 May@ Awassa Kenema1–1D
29 Aprvs Welayta Dicha0–0D
20 Apr@ Bahardar2–0W
13 Aprvs Negelle Arsi1–1D
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Welwalo Adigrat Uni – last 6

DDDLWL
30 Mayvs Ethiopian Medhin1–1D
21 May@ Adama Kenema0–0D
10 May@ Bahardar0–0D
6 Mayvs Negelle Arsi1–2L
30 Apr@ Ethiopia Bunna4–2W
13 Apr@ Mekelle Kenema1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sheger Ketema and Welwalo Adigrat Uni.

Sheger Ketema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Negelle Arsi5320+511
2Mekelakeya5311+310
3Welayta Dicha5221+68
4Ethiopia Nigd Bank522108
5Halaba Ketema5221-48
6Ethiopian Medhin4211+27
7Bahardar4211+27
8Mebrat Hayl521207
9Kedus Giorgis513106
10Adama Kenema513106
11Awassa Kenema412105
12Sheger Ketema5122-15
13Hadiya Hosaena4112-14
14Ethiopia Bunna5113-44
15Fasil Ketema4031-13
16Sidama Bunna2011-11
17Welwalo Adigrat Uni2011-21
18Gamo Chencha4013-41

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sheger Ketema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Our pick is Sheger Ketema or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Sheger Ketema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

On our numbers Sheger Ketema have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 27%.

How many goals will there be in Sheger Ketema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sheger Ketema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Our predicted score is Sheger Ketema 1–0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Sheger Ketema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Sheger Ketema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 16 June 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.