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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hapoel Acre v Hapoel Afula: numbers & prediction

Liga Leumit · Israel
4–1
FT
Hapoel Acre 35%Draw 25%Hapoel Afula 40% Expected goals 1.11 – 1.44
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Hapoel Afula to win @ 2.95 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultHapoel Afula to win ✗40% · @2.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.14

Hapoel Acre vs Hapoel Afula: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Hapoel Afula travel to face Hapoel Acre on Thursday 30 April in the Liga Leumit – the ball rolls at 16:45 WAT. In the table, Hapoel Acre are 16th, in the drop zone, on 3 points after 13 matches; Hapoel Afula are 5th (upper half) with 24. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Hapoel Acre, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Hapoel Afula, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Ironi Modi'in, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (16 Feb 2026) it ended Hapoel Acre 0–2 Hapoel Afula.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hapoel Acre 1.1 xG, Hapoel Afula 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hapoel Acre 35%, draw 25%, Hapoel Afula 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Hapoel Afula to win @2.95 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hapoel Acre 1–1 Hapoel Afula. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hapoel Acre35%fair 2.87 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.20
Hapoel Afula40%fair 2.51 · @2.95
2.55Expected goals
1.11Hapoel Acre xG
1.44Hapoel Afula xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%

From our goals model: Hapoel Acre 1.1 – 1.4 Hapoel Afula expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHapoel Afula to win ✗40%2.512.95 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.701.80 ▲
Draw no betHapoel Afula (draw no bet) ✗53%1.87–
Asian handicapHapoel Acre +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.421.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.861.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75%1.341.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗88%1.13–
First team to scoreHapoel Afula to score first ✓52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hapoel Afula / FT Hapoel Afula ✗26%3.81–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.14–

Recent results

Hapoel Acre – last 6

DLDLWD
24 Apr@ Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa0–0D
17 Apr@ Hapoel Kfar Saba2–3L
14 Aprvs Hapoel Kfar Shalem1–1D
10 Apr@ Hapoel Rishon LeZion1–3L
6 Aprvs Maccabi Herzliya3–1W
30 Mar@ Kiryat Yam SC0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Hapoel Afula – last 6

DWLDDL
24 Aprvs Ironi Modi'in0–0D
17 Apr@ Kiryat Yam SC2–1W
14 Aprvs Hapoel Nazareth Illit1–3L
10 Apr@ Hapoel Ra'anana1–1D
6 Aprvs Ironi Modi'in0–0D
27 Marvs Bnei Yehuda0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Feb 2026Hapoel Acre v Hapoel Afula0–2
Hapoel Acre vs Hapoel Afula head-to-head page →

Liga Leumit table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ashdod131012+1331
2Bnei Yehuda13931+1630
3Hapoel Kfar Shalem13922+1029
4Hapoel Ra'anana13814+1025
5Hapoel Afula13733+624
6Kiryat Yam SC13715+1022
7Hapoel Rishon LeZion13643+522
8Maccabi Bnei Raina13634+721
9Hapoel Kfar Saba13508-515
10Maccabi Kiryat Gat13355-214
11Maccabi Ahi Nazareth13427-714
12Kafr Qasim13418-213
13Ironi Modi'in13337-912
14Maccabi Herzliya13247-610
15Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa133010-189
16Hapoel Acre130310-283

More Liga Leumit predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hapoel Acre vs Hapoel Afula?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Hapoel Acre vs Hapoel Afula?

On our numbers Hapoel Acre have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Hapoel Afula 40%.

How many goals will there be in Hapoel Acre vs Hapoel Afula?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hapoel Acre vs Hapoel Afula?

Our predicted score is Hapoel Acre 1–1 Hapoel Afula, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Hapoel Acre vs Hapoel Afula?

Hapoel Acre vs Hapoel Afula (Liga Leumit) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.