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Hapoel Nazareth Illit v Hapoel Hadera: numbers & prediction

Liga Leumit · Israel · Netanya Stadium
Hapoel Nazareth Illit 44%Draw 25%Hapoel Hadera 31% Expected goals 1.59 – 1.19
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultHapoel Nazareth Illit to win ✓44% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.71

Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Hadera: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:45 WAT, Thursday 30 April: Hapoel Nazareth Illit v Hapoel Hadera in the Liga Leumit, played at Netanya Stadium.

Current form

Hapoel Nazareth Illit, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Hapoel Ra'anana, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Hapoel Hadera, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Kafr Qasim, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Feb 2026) it ended Hapoel Nazareth Illit 2–2 Hapoel Hadera.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1.6 xG, Hapoel Hadera 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hapoel Nazareth Illit 44%, draw 25%, Hapoel Hadera 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1–1 Hapoel Hadera. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hapoel Nazareth Illit44%fair 2.26 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.25
Hapoel Hadera31%fair 3.23 · @2.85
2.79Expected goals
1.59Hapoel Nazareth Illit xG
1.19Hapoel Hadera xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%

From our goals model: Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1.6 – 1.2 Hapoel Hadera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHapoel Nazareth Illit to win ✓44%2.262.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.661.73
Draw no betHapoel Nazareth Illit (draw no bet) ✓59%1.70–
Asian handicapHapoel Hadera +1 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.351.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗50%1.991.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.401.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreHapoel Nazareth Illit to score first ✓54%1.86–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hapoel Nazareth Illit / FT Hapoel Nazareth Illit ✓28%3.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.71–

Recent results

Hapoel Nazareth Illit – last 6

LDWLDL
24 Apr@ Hapoel Ra'anana1–4L
17 Aprvs Hapoel Ra'anana0–0D
14 Apr@ Hapoel Afula3–1W
3 Apr@ Maccabi Petah Tikva1–5L
31 Marvs Bnei Yehuda1–1D
27 Marvs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa0–1L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Hapoel Hadera – last 6

WLLLLL
24 Apr@ Kafr Qasim2–1W
17 Apr@ Hapoel Ramat Gan1–3L
14 Aprvs Hapoel Kfar Saba0–3L
10 Apr@ Hapoel Kfar Shalem2–3L
3 Aprvs Hapoel Rishon LeZion1–2L
30 Mar@ Maccabi Herzliya1–2L
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Feb 2026Hapoel Nazareth Illit v Hapoel Hadera2–2
Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Hadera head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Hadera?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Hadera?

On our numbers Hapoel Nazareth Illit have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Hapoel Hadera 31%.

How many goals will there be in Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Hadera?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Hadera?

Our predicted score is Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1–1 Hapoel Hadera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Hadera?

Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Hadera (Liga Leumit) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at Netanya Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.