Inter Playa del Carmen vs Real Apodaca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:00 WAT, Thursday 23 April: Inter Playa del Carmen v Real Apodaca in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Current form
Inter Playa del Carmen, last 4: DWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Tecos, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Real Apodaca, last 3: WDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Zitacuaro, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Inter Playa del Carmen, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Real Apodaca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Inter Playa del Carmen 1.2 xG, Real Apodaca 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Inter Playa del Carmen 39%, draw 27%, Real Apodaca 34%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Inter Playa del Carmen 1–1 Real Apodaca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Inter Playa del Carmen39%fair 2.57 · @2.25
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @3.10
Real Apodaca34%fair 2.95 · @3.00
2.45Expected goals
1.24Inter Playa del Carmen xG
1.21Real Apodaca xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Inter Playa del Carmen 1.2 – 1.2 Real Apodaca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Inter Playa del Carmen to win✗
39%
2.57
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.85
Draw no bet
Inter Playa del Carmen (draw no bet)
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Real Apodaca +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Inter Playa del Carmen to score first✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Inter Playa del Carmen / FT Inter Playa del Carmen✗
21%
4.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.42
–
Recent results
Inter Playa del Carmen – last 4
DWDW
18 Apr
@ Tecos
0–0
D
15 Apr
vs Tecos
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Celaya
0–0
D
14 Mar
vs Chapulineros
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Real Apodaca – last 3
WDL
24 Mar
@ Zitacuaro
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Lobos ULMX
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Gavilanes FC Matamoros
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Inter Playa del Carmen and Real Apodaca.
What is the prediction for Inter Playa del Carmen vs Real Apodaca?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Inter Playa del Carmen vs Real Apodaca?
On our numbers Inter Playa del Carmen have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Real Apodaca 34%.
How many goals will there be in Inter Playa del Carmen vs Real Apodaca?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Inter Playa del Carmen vs Real Apodaca?
Our predicted score is Inter Playa del Carmen 1–1 Real Apodaca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Inter Playa del Carmen vs Real Apodaca?
Inter Playa del Carmen vs Real Apodaca (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Celaya2
Cimarrones1