Durango vs Zacatepec 1948: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 26 April the Liga Premier Serie A brings Durango against Zacatepec 1948 at Estadio Francisco Zarco. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT.
Current form
Durango, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Mineros de Fresnillo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Zacatepec 1948, last 3: WLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over FC Santiago, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Durango, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.3 for Zacatepec 1948.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Durango 1.8 xG, Zacatepec 1948 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Durango 62%, draw 22%, Zacatepec 1948 16%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Durango 2–0 Zacatepec 1948. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Durango62%fair 1.61 · @1.30
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @4.40
Zacatepec 194816%fair 6.14 · @9.60
2.66Expected goals
1.79Durango xG
0.87Zacatepec 1948 xG
52%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Durango 1.8 – 0.9 Zacatepec 1948 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Durango to win✗
62%
1.61
1.30
Double chance
Durango or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
2.00
Draw no bet
Durango (draw no bet)
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Zacatepec 1948 +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Durango to score first✗
63%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Durango ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Durango / FT Durango✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.25
–
Recent results
Durango – last 6
WWDWWW
11 Apr
vs Mineros de Fresnillo
2–1
W
4 Apr
vs Reboceros La Piedad
3–1
W
28 Mar
@ Cimarrones
0–0
D
21 Mar
vs Ensenada
6–0
W
7 Mar
vs UA Zacatecas
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ Colima
4–1
W
3.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Zacatepec 1948 – last 3
WLD
19 Apr
@ FC Santiago
3–2
W
12 Apr
@ Gavilanes FC Matamoros
0–1
L
20 Feb
@ Atletico Hidalgo
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Durango and Zacatepec 1948.
What is the prediction for Durango vs Zacatepec 1948?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Durango vs Zacatepec 1948?
On our numbers Durango have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Zacatepec 1948 16%.
How many goals will there be in Durango vs Zacatepec 1948?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Durango vs Zacatepec 1948?
Our predicted score is Durango 2–0 Zacatepec 1948, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Durango vs Zacatepec 1948?
Durango vs Zacatepec 1948 (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Francisco Zarco.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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