Value bet: Monarcas to win @ 3.60 – our chance 30% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMineros de Zacatecas to win ✓46% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.94
Mineros de Zacatecas vs Monarcas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 23 April the Liga De Expansión MX brings Mineros de Zacatecas against Monarcas at Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Mineros de Zacatecas are 10th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Monarcas are 3rd (among the top four) with 26.
Current form
Mineros de Zacatecas, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Irapuato, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Monarcas, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to CDS Tampico Madero, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Mineros de Zacatecas, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Monarcas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mineros de Zacatecas 1.6 xG, Monarcas 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mineros de Zacatecas 46%, draw 24%, Monarcas 30%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Monarcas to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mineros de Zacatecas 1–1 Monarcas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mineros de Zacatecas46%fair 2.18 · @1.97
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.55
Monarcas30%fair 3.36 · @3.60
2.81Expected goals
1.55Mineros de Zacatecas xG
1.25Monarcas xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Mineros de Zacatecas 1.6 – 1.3 Monarcas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Mineros de Zacatecas
Monarcas
Attack vs Liga De Expansión MX average
-2%
-0%
Goals conceded vs average
+9%
-15%
Our expected goals here
1.55
1.32
Our own ratings from every Liga De Expansión MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mineros de Zacatecas to win✓
46%
2.18
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.67
Draw no bet
Mineros de Zacatecas (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Monarcas +1 (Asian handicap)✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.12
First team to score
Mineros de Zacatecas to score first✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mineros de Zacatecas / FT Mineros de Zacatecas✓
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.94
–
Recent results
Mineros de Zacatecas – last 6
DWLWWL
19 Apr
@ Irapuato
0–0
D
13 Apr
vs Correcaminos Uat
3–1
W
5 Apr
@ Atlante FC
1–3
L
30 Mar
vs Tapatío
2–1
W
14 Mar
vs CDS Tampico Madero
1–0
W
9 Mar
@ Tepatitlán
0–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Monarcas – last 6
LDLWLW
20 Apr
@ CDS Tampico Madero
0–1
L
12 Apr
vs Tlaxcala
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Leones Negros UDG
0–2
L
29 Mar
vs Irapuato
2–0
W
23 Mar
@ Tapatío
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Tepatitlán
3–2
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mineros de Zacatecas and Monarcas.
What is the prediction for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Monarcas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Mineros de Zacatecas vs Monarcas?
On our numbers Mineros de Zacatecas have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Monarcas 30%.
How many goals will there be in Mineros de Zacatecas vs Monarcas?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Monarcas?
Our predicted score is Mineros de Zacatecas 1–1 Monarcas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Mineros de Zacatecas vs Monarcas?
Mineros de Zacatecas vs Monarcas (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
