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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

CDS Tampico Madero v CA La Paz: numbers & prediction

Liga De Expansión MX · Mexico · Estadio Tamaulipas
2–0
FT
CDS Tampico Madero 51%Draw 24%CA La Paz 26% Expected goals 1.49 – 1.29
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultCDS Tampico Madero to win ✓51% · @1.57
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.26

CDS Tampico Madero vs CA La Paz: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

04:00 WAT, Thursday 23 April: CDS Tampico Madero v CA La Paz in the Liga De Expansión MX, played at Estadio Tamaulipas. In the table, CDS Tampico Madero are 14th, in the drop zone, on 15 points after 15 matches; CA La Paz are 1st (leading the league) with 30. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

CDS Tampico Madero, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Monarcas, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

CA La Paz, last 5: DDLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Atlante FC, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours CDS Tampico Madero, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for CA La Paz.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Mar 2026) it ended CA La Paz 1–1 CDS Tampico Madero.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give CDS Tampico Madero 1.5 xG, CA La Paz 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – CDS Tampico Madero 51%, draw 24%, CA La Paz 26%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: CDS Tampico Madero 1–1 CA La Paz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

CDS Tampico Madero51%fair 1.98 · @1.57
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @4.10
CA La Paz26%fair 3.89 · @5.30
2.78Expected goals
1.49CDS Tampico Madero xG
1.29CA La Paz xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: CDS Tampico Madero 1.5 – 1.3 CA La Paz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
Attack vs Liga De Expansión MX average-23%+32%
Goals conceded vs average-3%-14%
Our expected goals here1.221.56

Our own ratings from every Liga De Expansión MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCDS Tampico Madero to win ✓51%1.981.57
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.661.73
Draw no betCDS Tampico Madero (draw no bet) ✓66%1.51–
Asian handicapCA La Paz +1 (Asian handicap) ✗74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.851.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.471.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.201.15
First team to scoreCDS Tampico Madero to score first ✓50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT CDS Tampico Madero / FT CDS Tampico Madero ✗25%4.05–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.26–

Recent results

CDS Tampico Madero – last 6

WWDDDW
20 Aprvs Monarcas1–0W
11 Apr@ Alebrijes de Oaxaca2–1W
6 Aprvs Venados FC1–1D
28 Mar@ CA La Paz1–1D
23 Marvs Tlaxcala0–0D
19 Marvs Correcaminos Uat3–1W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

CA La Paz – last 6

DDLDWD
18 Apr@ Atlante FC1–1D
11 Aprvs Tepatitlán1–1D
4 Apr@ Irapuato1–3L
28 Marvs CDS Tampico Madero1–1D
21 Marvs Alebrijes de Oaxaca4–0W
15 Mar@ Cancún1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Mar 2026CA La Paz v CDS Tampico Madero1–1
CDS Tampico Madero vs CA La Paz head-to-head page →

Liga De Expansión MX table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CA La Paz15933+1830
2Leones Negros UDG15933+1430
3Monarcas15825+726
4Piratas15744+1225
5Cancún15744+1025
6Venados FC15744+625
7Durango15735+624
8Tlaxcala15645+222
9Alebrijes de Oaxaca15717-1022
10Mineros de Zacatecas15537018
11Tapatío15537-318
12Correcaminos Uat15456-317
13Dorados15447-916
14CDS Tampico Madero15438-1015
15Cruz Azul Hidalgo15357-714
16Tepatitlán152112-337

More Liga De Expansión MX predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CDS Tampico Madero vs CA La Paz?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win CDS Tampico Madero vs CA La Paz?

On our numbers CDS Tampico Madero have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 24% and CA La Paz 26%.

How many goals will there be in CDS Tampico Madero vs CA La Paz?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CDS Tampico Madero vs CA La Paz?

Our predicted score is CDS Tampico Madero 1–1 CA La Paz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is CDS Tampico Madero vs CA La Paz?

CDS Tampico Madero vs CA La Paz (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tamaulipas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.