Monarcas 56%Draw 22%Mineros de Zacatecas 22%Expected goals 1.86 – 1.01
78%
Betarazi pick
Monarcas or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Monarcas to win @ 1.90 – our chance 56% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMonarcas to win ✓56% · @1.90
Double chanceMonarcas or draw ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Monarcas vs Mineros de Zacatecas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mineros de Zacatecas travel to face Monarcas on Sunday 26 April in the Liga De Expansión MX, with Estadio Morelos the venue – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, Monarcas are 3rd, among the top four, on 26 points after 15 matches; Mineros de Zacatecas are 10th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Monarcas, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Mineros de Zacatecas, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Mineros de Zacatecas, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Monarcas, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Mineros de Zacatecas, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Monarcas.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Apr 2026) it ended Mineros de Zacatecas 3–0 Monarcas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Monarcas 1.9 xG, Mineros de Zacatecas 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Monarcas 56%, draw 22%, Mineros de Zacatecas 22%.
Lower-risk option: Monarcas or draw (78%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Monarcas to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Monarcas or draw (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monarcas 1–1 Mineros de Zacatecas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Monarcas56%fair 1.77 · @1.90
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.70
Mineros de Zacatecas22%fair 4.60 · @3.65
2.86Expected goals
1.86Monarcas xG
1.01Mineros de Zacatecas xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Monarcas 1.9 – 1.0 Mineros de Zacatecas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Monarcas
Mineros de Zacatecas
Attack vs Liga De Expansión MX average
-0%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
-15%
+9%
Our expected goals here
2.01
1.02
Our own ratings from every Liga De Expansión MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Monarcas vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
Our pick is Monarcas or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Monarcas vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
On our numbers Monarcas have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mineros de Zacatecas 22%.
How many goals will there be in Monarcas vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monarcas vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
Our predicted score is Monarcas 1–1 Mineros de Zacatecas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Monarcas vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
Monarcas vs Mineros de Zacatecas (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Morelos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
