Value bet: CA La Paz to win @ 2.26 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCA La Paz to win ✗51% · @2.26
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
CA La Paz vs CDS Tampico Madero: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
CA La Paz welcome CDS Tampico Madero to Estadio Guaycura for a Liga De Expansión MX fixture on Sunday 26 April (04:00 WAT). In the table, CA La Paz are 1st, leading the league, on 30 points after 15 matches; CDS Tampico Madero are 14th (in the drop zone) with 15. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
CA La Paz, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to CDS Tampico Madero, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
CDS Tampico Madero, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over CA La Paz, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours CDS Tampico Madero, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for CA La Paz.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Apr 2026) it ended CDS Tampico Madero 2–0 CA La Paz. The last 2 head-to-heads: CA La Paz 0 wins, CDS Tampico Madero 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CA La Paz 1.9 xG, CDS Tampico Madero 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CA La Paz 51%, draw 21%, CDS Tampico Madero 28%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: CA La Paz to win @2.26 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: CA La Paz 1–1 CDS Tampico Madero. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CA La Paz51%fair 1.98 · @2.26
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.65
CDS Tampico Madero28%fair 3.55 · @2.82
2.89Expected goals
1.88CA La Paz xG
1.01CDS Tampico Madero xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: CA La Paz 1.9 – 1.0 CDS Tampico Madero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
CA La Paz
CDS Tampico Madero
Attack vs Liga De Expansión MX average
+32%
-23%
Goals conceded vs average
-14%
-3%
Our expected goals here
2.36
0.80
Our own ratings from every Liga De Expansión MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for CA La Paz vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win CA La Paz vs CDS Tampico Madero?
On our numbers CA La Paz have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 21% and CDS Tampico Madero 28%.
How many goals will there be in CA La Paz vs CDS Tampico Madero?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CA La Paz vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Our predicted score is CA La Paz 1–1 CDS Tampico Madero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is CA La Paz vs CDS Tampico Madero?
CA La Paz vs CDS Tampico Madero (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guaycura.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
