Bogota FC 30%Draw 29%Union Magdalena 40%Expected goals 1.00 – 1.17
79%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultUnion Magdalena to win ✗40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.81
Bogota FC vs Union Magdalena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bogota FC welcome Union Magdalena to Estadio Metropolitano de Techo for a Primera B fixture on Monday 27 April (23:00 WAT). In the table, Bogota FC are 10th, in the drop zone, on 18 points after 15 matches; Union Magdalena are 3rd (among the top four) with 4. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Bogota FC, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Orsomarso, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Union Magdalena, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Internacional Palmira, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Union Magdalena, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Bogota FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bogota FC 1.0 xG, Union Magdalena 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bogota FC 30%, draw 29%, Union Magdalena 40%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bogota FC 0–1 Union Magdalena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bogota FC30%fair 3.28 · @3.00
Draw29%fair 3.44 · @3.10
Union Magdalena40%fair 2.47 · @2.25
2.17Expected goals
1.00Bogota FC xG
1.17Union Magdalena xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Bogota FC 1.0 – 1.2 Union Magdalena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Bogota FC
Union Magdalena
Attack vs Primera B average
-19%
+10%
Goals conceded vs average
-10%
-9%
Our expected goals here
0.85
0.96
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Magdalena to win✗
40%
2.47
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
71%
1.41
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.83
Draw no bet
Union Magdalena (draw no bet)
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Bogota FC +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Union Magdalena to score first
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Magdalena / FT Union Magdalena✗
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.81
–
Recent results
Bogota FC – last 6
WDWLDL
13 Apr
vs Orsomarso
2–0
W
1 Apr
vs Real Soacha
2–2
D
25 Mar
@ Envigado
2–1
W
20 Mar
vs Quindio
0–2
L
16 Mar
@ Barranquilla
1–1
D
11 Mar
vs Tigres FC
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Union Magdalena – last 6
LWWWLW
13 Apr
vs Internacional Palmira
0–2
L
9 Apr
vs Envigado
4–2
W
30 Mar
@ Ind. Yumbo
2–0
W
26 Mar
vs Real Santander
2–0
W
23 Mar
@ Real Cartagena
1–2
L
16 Mar
vs Patriotas
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bogota FC and Union Magdalena.
What is the prediction for Bogota FC vs Union Magdalena?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bogota FC vs Union Magdalena?
On our numbers Bogota FC have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Union Magdalena 40%.
How many goals will there be in Bogota FC vs Union Magdalena?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bogota FC vs Union Magdalena?
Our predicted score is Bogota FC 0–1 Union Magdalena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Bogota FC vs Union Magdalena?
Bogota FC vs Union Magdalena (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
