Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:30 WAT, Monday 27 April: Barranquilla v Real Cartagena in the Primera B, played at Estadio Romelio Martinez. In the table, Barranquilla are 15th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 15 matches; Real Cartagena are 3rd (among the top four) with 4.
Current form
Barranquilla, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Envigado, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Real Cartagena, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Patriotas, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barranquilla 1.2 xG, Real Cartagena 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barranquilla 32%, draw 25%, Real Cartagena 43%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barranquilla 1–1 Real Cartagena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barranquilla32%fair 3.11 · @3.10
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.25
Real Cartagena43%fair 2.35 · @2.15
2.74Expected goals
1.25Barranquilla xG
1.49Real Cartagena xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Barranquilla 1.2 – 1.5 Real Cartagena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Barranquilla
Real Cartagena
Attack vs Primera B average
+4%
+40%
Goals conceded vs average
+19%
+9%
Our expected goals here
1.32
1.60
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Cartagena to win✗
43%
2.35
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.70
Draw no bet
Real Cartagena (draw no bet)
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Barranquilla +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Real Cartagena to score first✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Cartagena / FT Real Cartagena✗
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.15
–
Recent results
Barranquilla – last 6
LWLWDL
14 Apr
vs Envigado
1–2
L
8 Apr
vs Real Santander
2–0
W
31 Mar
@ Tigres FC
1–3
L
25 Mar
vs Leones FC
3–0
W
16 Mar
vs Bogota FC
1–1
D
12 Mar
@ Ind. Yumbo
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Real Cartagena – last 6
LWDWDD
14 Apr
@ Patriotas
0–1
L
1 Apr
vs Quindio
2–1
W
27 Mar
@ Popayan
1–1
D
23 Mar
vs Union Magdalena
2–1
W
16 Mar
@ Envigado
1–1
D
11 Mar
vs Internacional Palmira
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barranquilla and Real Cartagena.
What is the prediction for Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena?
On our numbers Barranquilla have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Real Cartagena 43%.
How many goals will there be in Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena?
Our predicted score is Barranquilla 1–1 Real Cartagena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena?
Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Romelio Martinez.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
