Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.83 – our chance 58% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAEK Larnaca to win ✓49% · @1.85
Double chanceAEK Larnaca or draw ✓76% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.06
AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Limassol: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 6 May the 1. Division brings AEK Larnaca against Apollon Limassol at AEK Arena. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, AEK Larnaca are 1st, leading the league, on 20 points after 9 matches; Apollon Limassol are 5th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
AEK Larnaca, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Omonia Nicosia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Apollon Limassol, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Apoel Nicosia, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Apollon Limassol 1–1 AEK Larnaca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AEK Larnaca 1.5 xG, Apollon Limassol 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AEK Larnaca 49%, draw 27%, Apollon Limassol 24%.
Lower-risk option: AEK Larnaca or draw (76%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: AEK Larnaca 1–1 Apollon Limassol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AEK Larnaca49%fair 2.06 · @1.85
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.20
Apollon Limassol24%fair 4.13 · @4.00
2.60Expected goals
1.46AEK Larnaca xG
1.14Apollon Limassol xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: AEK Larnaca 1.5 – 1.1 Apollon Limassol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Limassol?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Limassol?
On our numbers AEK Larnaca have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Apollon Limassol 24%.
How many goals will there be in AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Limassol?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Limassol?
Our predicted score is AEK Larnaca 1–1 Apollon Limassol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Limassol?
AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Limassol (1. Division) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at AEK Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
