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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Aris v Apoel Nicosia: numbers & prediction

1. Division · Cyprus · Alphamega Stadium

Aris

DLLWD
1–0
FT
Aris 36%Draw 24%Apoel Nicosia 40% Expected goals 1.50 – 1.56
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultApoel Nicosia to win ✗40% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.71

Aris vs Apoel Nicosia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Wednesday 6 May: Aris v Apoel Nicosia in the 1. Division, played at Alphamega Stadium. In the table, Aris are 7th, upper half, on 15 points after 9 matches; Apoel Nicosia are 4th (among the top four) with 17. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Aris, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Pafos, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Apoel Nicosia, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Apollon Limassol, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Apoel Nicosia 2–1 Aris. The last 2 head-to-heads: Aris 0 wins, Apoel Nicosia 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aris 1.5 xG, Apoel Nicosia 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aris 36%, draw 24%, Apoel Nicosia 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aris 1–1 Apoel Nicosia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aris36%fair 2.75 · @2.55
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.40
Apoel Nicosia40%fair 2.50 · @2.40
3.06Expected goals
1.50Aris xG
1.56Apoel Nicosia xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Aris 1.5 – 1.6 Apoel Nicosia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultApoel Nicosia to win ✗40%2.502.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.671.60
Draw no betApoel Nicosia (draw no bet) ✗52%1.91–
Asian handicapAris +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.281.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.801.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.521.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
First team to scoreApoel Nicosia to score first ✗48%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓39%2.55–
Half-time / full-timeHT Apoel Nicosia / FT Apoel Nicosia ✗23%4.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.71–

Recent results

Aris – last 6

DLLWDD
14 Aprvs Pafos1–1D
5 Apr@ Apoel Nicosia1–2L
15 Marvs Apoel Nicosia1–2L
8 Mar@ Enosis4–0W
1 Marvs Pafos2–2D
20 Feb@ Krasava Ypsonas1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Apoel Nicosia – last 6

DLLWWL
29 Aprvs Apollon Limassol0–0D
22 Apr@ Apollon Limassol2–4L
14 Aprvs Apollon Limassol2–3L
5 Aprvs Aris2–1W
15 Mar@ Aris2–1W
8 Marvs Anorthosis0–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Apoel Nicosia v Aris2–1
15 Mar 2026Aris v Apoel Nicosia1–2
Aris vs Apoel Nicosia head-to-head page →

1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1AEK Larnaca9621+1120
2Omonia Nicosia9531+1118
3AEL9603018
4Apoel Nicosia9522+1017
5Apollon Limassol9441+1016
6Pafos9441+616
7Aris9432015
8Omonia 29is Maiou9324-211
9Olympiakos9162-19
10Nea Salamis9225-48
11Anorthosis9207-106
12Karmiotissa9135-146
13Omonia Aradippou9135-66
14Krasava Ypsonas9126-115

More 1. Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aris vs Apoel Nicosia?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Aris vs Apoel Nicosia?

On our numbers Aris have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Apoel Nicosia 40%.

How many goals will there be in Aris vs Apoel Nicosia?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aris vs Apoel Nicosia?

Our predicted score is Aris 1–1 Apoel Nicosia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Aris vs Apoel Nicosia?

Aris vs Apoel Nicosia (1. Division) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Alphamega Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.