Aris vs Apoel Nicosia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Wednesday 6 May: Aris v Apoel Nicosia in the 1. Division, played at Alphamega Stadium. In the table, Aris are 7th, upper half, on 15 points after 9 matches; Apoel Nicosia are 4th (among the top four) with 17. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Aris, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Pafos, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Apoel Nicosia, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Apollon Limassol, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Apoel Nicosia 2–1 Aris. The last 2 head-to-heads: Aris 0 wins, Apoel Nicosia 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aris 1.5 xG, Apoel Nicosia 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aris 36%, draw 24%, Apoel Nicosia 40%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aris 1–1 Apoel Nicosia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aris36%fair 2.75 · @2.55
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.40
Apoel Nicosia40%fair 2.50 · @2.40
3.06Expected goals
1.50Aris xG
1.56Apoel Nicosia xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Aris 1.5 – 1.6 Apoel Nicosia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Aris vs Apoel Nicosia?
On our numbers Aris have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Apoel Nicosia 40%.
How many goals will there be in Aris vs Apoel Nicosia?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aris vs Apoel Nicosia?
Our predicted score is Aris 1–1 Apoel Nicosia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Aris vs Apoel Nicosia?
Aris vs Apoel Nicosia (1. Division) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Alphamega Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.