FK Neftekhimik 39%Draw 28%Volga Ulyanovsk 33%Expected goals 1.08 – 1.12
66%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.36
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
2
Value bet: Volga Ulyanovsk to win @ 3.46 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultFK Neftekhimik to win39% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win72% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @1.94
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals80% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–17% · fair 13.79
FK Neftekhimik vs Volga Ulyanovsk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 10 May the First League brings FK Neftekhimik against Volga Ulyanovsk at Neftekhimik Stadium. Kick-off: 15:30 WAT. In the table, FK Neftekhimik are 17th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 17 matches; Volga Ulyanovsk are 9th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
FK Neftekhimik, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Chelyabinsk, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Volga Ulyanovsk, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FK Sokol Saratov, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Volga Ulyanovsk, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for FK Neftekhimik.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Neftekhimik 1.1 xG, Volga Ulyanovsk 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Neftekhimik 39%, draw 28%, Volga Ulyanovsk 33%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.94.
Price worth noting: Volga Ulyanovsk to win @3.46 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Neftekhimik 1–1 Volga Ulyanovsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Neftekhimik39%fair 2.58 · @2.12
Draw28%fair 3.53 · @3.14
Volga Ulyanovsk33%fair 3.03 · @3.46
2.21Expected goals
1.08FK Neftekhimik xG
1.12Volga Ulyanovsk xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: FK Neftekhimik 1.1 – 1.1 Volga Ulyanovsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
FK Neftekhimik
Volga Ulyanovsk
Attack vs First League average
-38%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
-5%
Our expected goals here
0.87
1.12
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FK Neftekhimik to win
39%
2.58
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win
72%
1.39
1.32
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.85
1.94
Draw no bet
FK Neftekhimik (draw no bet)
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
FK Neftekhimik +0.5 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
66%
1.52
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
60%
1.66
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
80%
1.25
1.16
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
91%
1.10
1.01
First team to score
Volga Ulyanovsk to score first
45%
2.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Volga Ulyanovsk / FT Volga Ulyanovsk
21%
4.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
7%
13.79
–
Recent results
FK Neftekhimik – last 6
LLWDLL
2 May
@ Chelyabinsk
0–2
L
26 Apr
@ Enisey
0–2
L
22 Apr
vs Chernomorets
4–0
W
10 Apr
@ KAMAZ
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Rotor Volgograd
1–3
L
1 Apr
vs Fakel
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Volga Ulyanovsk – last 6
LWLDWD
3 May
vs FK Sokol Saratov
0–1
L
22 Apr
vs Chayka
2–1
W
12 Apr
vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Ska-khabarovsk
1–1
D
28 Mar
vs Spartak Kostroma
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Chelyabinsk
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Neftekhimik and Volga Ulyanovsk.
What is the prediction for FK Neftekhimik vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win FK Neftekhimik vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
On our numbers FK Neftekhimik have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Volga Ulyanovsk 33%.
How many goals will there be in FK Neftekhimik vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Neftekhimik vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
Our predicted score is FK Neftekhimik 1–1 Volga Ulyanovsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is FK Neftekhimik vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
FK Neftekhimik vs Volga Ulyanovsk (First League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Neftekhimik Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FK Sokol Saratov1