Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.37 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.37Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.03 – our chance 55% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSpartak Kostroma to win ✗54% · @1.79
Double chanceSpartak Kostroma or draw ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.03
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.13
FK Sokol Saratov vs Spartak Kostroma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FK Sokol Saratov welcome Spartak Kostroma to Stadion Lokomotiv for a First League fixture on Sunday 10 May (11:00 WAT).
Current form
FK Sokol Saratov, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Volga Ulyanovsk, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Spartak Kostroma, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to KAMAZ, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Spartak Kostroma, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for FK Sokol Saratov.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Sokol Saratov 0.9 xG, Spartak Kostroma 1.4 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Sokol Saratov 20%, draw 26%, Spartak Kostroma 54%.
Lower-risk option: Spartak Kostroma or draw (80%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.03.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.03 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.37). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Sokol Saratov 1–1 Spartak Kostroma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Sokol Saratov20%fair 4.88 · @4.50
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.36
Spartak Kostroma54%fair 1.86 · @1.79
2.33Expected goals
0.89FK Sokol Saratov xG
1.44Spartak Kostroma xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–112%
0–210%
0–010%
1–29%
1–09%
From our goals model: FK Sokol Saratov 0.9 – 1.4 Spartak Kostroma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
FK Sokol Saratov
Spartak Kostroma
Attack vs First League average
-28%
-4%
Goals conceded vs average
+24%
-5%
Our expected goals here
1.02
1.39
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spartak Kostroma to win✗
54%
1.86
1.79
Double chance
Spartak Kostroma or draw✓
80%
1.26
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
2.03 ▲
Draw no bet
Spartak Kostroma (draw no bet)
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
FK Sokol Saratov +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.37
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.61
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
1.03
First team to score
Spartak Kostroma to score first
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spartak Kostroma / FT Spartak Kostroma✗
30%
3.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.13
–
Recent results
FK Sokol Saratov – last 6
WLLLLL
3 May
@ Volga Ulyanovsk
1–0
W
22 Apr
vs Enisey
0–4
L
18 Apr
vs Ural
0–3
L
5 Apr
vs Rodina Moskva
1–3
L
29 Mar
@ Arsenal Tula
1–3
L
22 Mar
vs FK Neftekhimik
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Spartak Kostroma – last 5
LWLDD
1 May
@ KAMAZ
0–2
L
22 Apr
vs Ska-khabarovsk
3–0
W
28 Mar
@ Volga Ulyanovsk
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
1–1
D
7 Mar
@ Chelyabinsk
3–3
D
1.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Sokol Saratov and Spartak Kostroma.
What is the prediction for FK Sokol Saratov vs Spartak Kostroma?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.37.
Who will win FK Sokol Saratov vs Spartak Kostroma?
On our numbers FK Sokol Saratov have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Spartak Kostroma 54%.
How many goals will there be in FK Sokol Saratov vs Spartak Kostroma?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Sokol Saratov vs Spartak Kostroma?
Our predicted score is FK Sokol Saratov 1–1 Spartak Kostroma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is FK Sokol Saratov vs Spartak Kostroma?
FK Sokol Saratov vs Spartak Kostroma (First League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
