Shinnik Yaroslavl 34%Draw 30%Torpedo Moskva 36%Expected goals 0.99 – 1.09
65%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.41 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.41Odds
Picks by market
ResultTorpedo Moskva to win ✗36% · @2.78
Double chanceEither team to win ✗70% · @1.39
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.64
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.37
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Torpedo Moskva travel to face Shinnik Yaroslavl on Monday 11 May in the First League, with Stadion Shinnik the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Shinnik Yaroslavl are 7th, upper half, on 26 points after 17 matches; Torpedo Moskva are 3rd (among the top four) with 32.
Current form
Shinnik Yaroslavl, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ural, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Torpedo Moskva, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Fakel, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.0 xG, Torpedo Moskva 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shinnik Yaroslavl 34%, draw 30%, Torpedo Moskva 36%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.64.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.41). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shinnik Yaroslavl 0–1 Torpedo Moskva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shinnik Yaroslavl34%fair 2.95 · @2.77
Draw30%fair 3.32 · @2.79
Torpedo Moskva36%fair 2.78 · @2.78
2.08Expected goals
0.99Shinnik Yaroslavl xG
1.09Torpedo Moskva xG
50%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–013%
1–012%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.0 – 1.1 Torpedo Moskva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Torpedo Moskva
Attack vs First League average
-5%
+19%
Goals conceded vs average
-19%
-32%
Our expected goals here
0.96
1.13
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torpedo Moskva to win✗
36%
2.78
2.78
Double chance
Either team to win✗
70%
1.43
1.39
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.64
Draw no bet
Torpedo Moskva (draw no bet)
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Shinnik Yaroslavl +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.54
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.41
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.12
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
1.01
First team to score
Torpedo Moskva to score first✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torpedo Moskva / FT Torpedo Moskva✗
21%
4.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.37
–
Recent results
Shinnik Yaroslavl – last 6
WDWDDW
4 May
@ Ural
1–0
W
22 Apr
@ Fakel
2–2
D
12 Apr
@ Volga Ulyanovsk
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Spartak Kostroma
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Enisey
1–1
D
9 Mar
vs FC UFA
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Torpedo Moskva – last 6
DLWDWW
27 Apr
vs Fakel
2–2
D
22 Apr
@ Ural
0–2
L
17 Apr
vs KAMAZ
2–0
W
6 Apr
@ FC UFA
1–1
D
30 Mar
vs Ska-khabarovsk
4–1
W
23 Mar
@ Chelyabinsk
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shinnik Yaroslavl and Torpedo Moskva.
What is the prediction for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva?
On our numbers Shinnik Yaroslavl have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Torpedo Moskva 36%.
How many goals will there be in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva?
Our predicted score is Shinnik Yaroslavl 0–1 Torpedo Moskva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva?
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva (First League) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Shinnik.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
