Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Ural to win @ 1.92 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUral to win ✓58% · @1.92
Double chanceUral or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.40
Ural vs KAMAZ: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ural welcome KAMAZ to Yekaterinburg Arena for a First League fixture on Monday 11 May (12:00 WAT). In the table, Ural are 2nd, among the top four, on 34 points after 17 matches; KAMAZ are 16th (in the drop zone) with 14. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ural, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Shinnik Yaroslavl, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
KAMAZ, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Spartak Kostroma, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Ural, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for KAMAZ.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ural 1.8 xG, KAMAZ 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ural 58%, draw 24%, KAMAZ 18%.
Lower-risk option: Ural or draw (82%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Ural to win @1.92 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ural or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ural 1–0 KAMAZ. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ural58%fair 1.71 · @1.92
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.32
KAMAZ18%fair 5.55 · @3.88
2.63Expected goals
1.85Ural xG
0.78KAMAZ xG
50%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Ural 1.8 – 0.8 KAMAZ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Ural
KAMAZ
Attack vs First League average
+24%
-3%
Goals conceded vs average
-37%
+18%
Our expected goals here
2.17
0.71
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ural to win✓
58%
1.71
1.92 ▲
Double chance
Ural or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.83
Draw no bet
Ural (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Ural -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.29
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.74
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.23
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.05
First team to score
Ural to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Ural ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ural / FT Ural✓
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.40
–
Recent results
Ural – last 6
LWWWDW
4 May
vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
0–1
L
26 Apr
@ Chelyabinsk
2–1
W
22 Apr
vs Torpedo Moskva
2–0
W
18 Apr
@ FK Sokol Saratov
3–0
W
12 Apr
vs FC UFA
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs Chayka
5–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
KAMAZ – last 6
WWLDLD
1 May
vs Spartak Kostroma
2–0
W
22 Apr
@ FC UFA
1–0
W
17 Apr
@ Torpedo Moskva
0–2
L
10 Apr
vs FK Neftekhimik
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Enisey
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Arsenal Tula
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ural and KAMAZ.
Our pick is Ural or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ural vs KAMAZ?
On our numbers Ural have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and KAMAZ 18%.
How many goals will there be in Ural vs KAMAZ?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ural vs KAMAZ?
Our predicted score is Ural 1–0 KAMAZ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ural vs KAMAZ?
Ural vs KAMAZ (First League) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Yekaterinburg Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
