Value bet: Slovan Liberec to win @ 2.96 – our chance 36% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSparta Praha to win ✓37% · @2.24
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.57
Slovan Liberec vs Sparta Praha: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Slovan Liberec welcome Sparta Praha to Stadion U Nisy for a Czech Liga fixture on Sunday 17 May (16:00 WAT). In the table, Slovan Liberec are 2nd, among the top four, on 26 points after 13 matches; Sparta Praha are 4th (among the top four) with 24. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Slovan Liberec, last 4: LLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Hradec Králové, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Sparta Praha, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Plzen, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Slovan Liberec 1.3 xG, Sparta Praha 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Slovan Liberec 36%, draw 27%, Sparta Praha 37%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Slovan Liberec to win @2.96 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Slovan Liberec 1–1 Sparta Praha. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Slovan Liberec36%fair 2.76 · @2.96
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.30
Sparta Praha37%fair 2.69 · @2.24
2.49Expected goals
1.33Slovan Liberec xG
1.15Sparta Praha xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–19%
0–08%
2–07%
From our goals model: Slovan Liberec 1.3 – 1.2 Sparta Praha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sparta Praha to win✓
37%
2.69
2.24
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.71
1.67
Draw no bet
Sparta Praha (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Sparta Praha +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Slovan Liberec to score first✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Slovan Liberec / FT Slovan Liberec✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.57
–
Recent results
Slovan Liberec – last 4
LLDW
13 May
@ Hradec Králové
0–1
L
12 Apr
@ Karviná
1–3
L
15 Mar
vs Teplice
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Baník Ostrava
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Sparta Praha – last 6
DWLWLL
12 May
vs Plzen
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs Karviná
2–0
W
19 Mar
vs AZ Alkmaar
0–4
L
15 Mar
vs Slovácko
5–2
W
12 Mar
@ AZ Alkmaar
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Slavia Praha
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Slovan Liberec and Sparta Praha.
What is the prediction for Slovan Liberec vs Sparta Praha?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Slovan Liberec vs Sparta Praha?
On our numbers Slovan Liberec have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sparta Praha 37%.
How many goals will there be in Slovan Liberec vs Sparta Praha?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Slovan Liberec vs Sparta Praha?
Our predicted score is Slovan Liberec 1–1 Sparta Praha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Slovan Liberec vs Sparta Praha?
Slovan Liberec vs Sparta Praha (Czech Liga) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion U Nisy.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
