Plzen vs FK Jablonec: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FK Jablonec travel to face Plzen on Sunday 17 May in the Czech Liga, with Stadion Mesta Plzne the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Plzen are 8th, upper half, on 20 points after 14 matches; FK Jablonec are 7th (upper half) with 21. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Plzen, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sparta Praha, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
FK Jablonec, last 4: LWWW Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Slavia Praha, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours FK Jablonec, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Plzen.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Plzen 1.9 xG, FK Jablonec 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Plzen 62%, draw 22%, FK Jablonec 16%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Plzen 1–1 FK Jablonec. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Plzen62%fair 1.61 · @1.43
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @4.20
FK Jablonec16%fair 6.26 · @6.75
2.81Expected goals
1.87Plzen xG
0.94FK Jablonec xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Plzen 1.9 – 0.9 FK Jablonec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Plzen to win✓
62%
1.61
1.43
Double chance
Plzen or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.80
Draw no bet
Plzen (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
FK Jablonec +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Plzen to score first✓
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Plzen ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Plzen / FT Plzen✓
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
Plzen – last 6
DWWLLD
12 May
@ Sparta Praha
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Bohemians 1905
2–0
W
8 Mar
@ Hradec Králové
3–0
W
5 Mar
@ Karviná
0–3
L
1 Mar
@ Zlin
0–3
L
22 Feb
vs Sparta Praha
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FK Jablonec – last 4
LWWW
13 May
@ Slavia Praha
1–5
L
21 Apr
vs Mlada Boleslav
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Karviná
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Pardubice
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Plzen and FK Jablonec.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Plzen vs FK Jablonec?
On our numbers Plzen have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FK Jablonec 16%.
How many goals will there be in Plzen vs FK Jablonec?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Plzen vs FK Jablonec?
Our predicted score is Plzen 1–1 FK Jablonec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Plzen vs FK Jablonec?
Plzen vs FK Jablonec (Czech Liga) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Mesta Plzne.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
