Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Guadalajara Chivas welcome Tigres UANL to Estadio Akron for a Liga MX fixture on Sunday 10 May (02:07 WAT). In the table, Guadalajara Chivas are 3rd, among the top four, on 30 points after 16 matches; Tigres UANL are 15th (lower half) with 15. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Guadalajara Chivas, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Tigres UANL, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Tigres UANL, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Nashville SC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Tigres UANL, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Guadalajara Chivas.
Head to head
When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Tigres UANL 3–1 Guadalajara Chivas. The last 2 head-to-heads: Guadalajara Chivas 0 wins, Tigres UANL 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guadalajara Chivas 1.6 xG, Tigres UANL 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guadalajara Chivas 47%, draw 24%, Tigres UANL 29%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guadalajara Chivas 1–1 Tigres UANL. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guadalajara Chivas47%fair 2.15 · @2.18
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.50
Tigres UANL29%fair 3.43 · @3.10
2.65Expected goals
1.61Guadalajara Chivas xG
1.04Tigres UANL xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Guadalajara Chivas 1.6 – 1.0 Tigres UANL expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL
Attack vs Liga MX average
+8%
-17%
Goals conceded vs average
-25%
-2%
Our expected goals here
1.70
0.87
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL?
On our numbers Guadalajara Chivas have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tigres UANL 29%.
How many goals will there be in Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL?
Our predicted score is Guadalajara Chivas 1–1 Tigres UANL, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL?
Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 02:07 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Akron.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
